@Mr.Lobst
#2,900,423130xcbadceafb24c0a5f1d2ec848fe8523361a17c86e
~85d· 329 markets · 1726 tradesVol: $534,1012026-08-02 05:23:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
34% (99/294)1.8/20
0.73x (win $1,255 / loss $1,727)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0830/15
Sortino -2.7940/10
$-0.0650 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 412 (294 markets)10/10
23/69 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 6583% of peak ($668 / $10)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
84% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,547,313$-150Vol: $352,248
⚽ SPORTS#122,443$98Vol: $55,175
₿ CRYPTO#1,590,249$-533Vol: $50,739
📈 ECONOMICS#581,524$-7Vol: $27,103
📢 MENTIONS#168,206$-182Vol: $25,885
🎭 CULTURE#713,599$-16Vol: $18,189
🌤️ WEATHER#256,269$-16Vol: $4,593
💰 FINANCE#458,068$-1Vol: $170
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-807
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$534,101
Total Redeem
$9
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
329
total markets
Trades
1124B / 602S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~85d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-807
Vol: $534,101
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
34%
99W / 195L events
Realized PnL
$-807
Win Rate
34%
99W / 195L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-9
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $534 (0.6620634940311643% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$264
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$166
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$105
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$91
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$74
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$53
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$29
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?$24
Top Losers
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$-280
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-102
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-87
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$-78
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$-60
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$-54
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)$-53
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?$-39
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office$-35
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$-34
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.108
Sortino
-0.135
HHI
846
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.065
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.6%
Top-5 markets
44.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
10.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 308s — normal for humanCV 9.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active1.9 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.65
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)83.8%
Mid (20-55c)6.9%
High (>55c)9.3%
Sessions
#124/15/2026, 4:14:32 PM2 trades$1,9190 min
4/30/2026, 11:34:24 PM5 trades$1,0011 min
4/12/2026, 6:37:09 PM54 trades$9727 min
6/16/2026, 3:34:46 PM6 trades$6026 min
4/14/2026, 5:08:54 PM2 trades$5100 min
4/8/2026, 7:00:01 PM2 trades$5000 min
4/13/2026, 9:32:15 AM11 trades$4867 min
6/15/2026, 9:49:36 AM23 trades$4824 min
5/7/2026, 8:14:21 AM6 trades$4702 min
4/22/2026, 2:53:48 PM8 trades$2613 min
4/11/2026, 10:10:05 AM8 trades$25711 min
4/27/2026, 11:49:32 PM16 trades$2495 min
4/11/2026, 9:25:35 AM5 trades$2140 min
4/11/2026, 9:14:55 AM10 trades$2136 min
4/21/2026, 5:13:18 PM8 trades$2130 min
5/2/2026, 4:56:28 PM7 trades$2110 min
4/30/2026, 4:00:40 PM6 trades$2085 min
4/8/2026, 6:22:27 AM5 trades$2035 min
4/25/2026, 2:48:00 PM3 trades$2000 min
7/1/2026, 6:24:38 PM2 trades$1620 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-14
03-07
03-18
03-31
04-17
05-03
06-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 137 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.65/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L83.8 / M6.9 / H9.3