@karolak12
#2,577,369370xcbb721d52d99cd7482363da284c1afb8701e74e8
~60d· 193 markets · 331 tradesVol: $164,6762026-08-02 07:31:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
84% (163/193)20/20
0.70x (win $219 / loss $312)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3600/15
Sortino -1.6650/10
$-0.0014 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1059 (193 markets)7.2/10
46/58 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 176% of peak ($217 / $123)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 84%
Whale
$65,132 invested
Consistent
46/58 profitable days
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
Categories
5⚽ SPORTS#1,574,405$-45Vol: $102,988
₿ CRYPTO#1,500,922$-136Vol: $36,135
📈 ECONOMICS#582,450$-7Vol: $20,295
💰 FINANCE#515,452$-3Vol: $4,662
🏛️ POLITICS#71,101$82Vol: $596
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-109
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$164,676
Total Redeem
$144
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
193
total markets
Trades
213B / 118S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~60d
Periods
#2Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-109
Vol: $164,676
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
84%
163W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-109
Win Rate
84%
163W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-11
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $144 (1.3276227318780514% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$91
$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?$34
Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?$19
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$8
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?$6
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$4
Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22?$3
Ethereum above $2,700 on June 3?$3
Will Villa win on 2024-11-09?$3
Ethereum Up or Down on October 3?$2
Top Losers
Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 October 6-12?$-60
Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 October 6-12?$-60
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$-56
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$-34
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?$-13
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?$-11
Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?$-7
Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?$-7
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-7
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-7
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.071
Sortino
-0.047
HHI
1088
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
82.8%
Half-Kelly
41.4%
Top-1 market
20.5%
Top-5 markets
61.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
16.3m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 4.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal3% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.72
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.7%
Mid (20-55c)3.3%
High (>55c)92%
Sessions
#127/21/2025, 5:30:07 PM11 trades$66,7157 min
11/9/2024, 3:04:13 AM5 trades$13,5104 min
11/9/2024, 5:23:21 AM8 trades$13,4835 min
11/9/2024, 11:21:33 AM2 trades$13,3182 min
6/23/2026, 9:17:47 AM97 trades$10,2691 min
11/9/2024, 2:53:51 AM5 trades$6,8253 min
11/9/2024, 11:57:51 AM2 trades$6,5761 min
7/9/2025, 12:07:54 PM7 trades$2691 min
10/6/2025, 2:57:39 PM6 trades$2602 min
10/3/2025, 3:30:09 AM6 trades$2553 min
5/6/2026, 8:11:38 AM6 trades$2461 min
6/2/2025, 3:47:56 PM3 trades$2402 min
8/7/2025, 4:30:45 PM12 trades$2393 min
9/4/2025, 10:27:22 PM9 trades$2323 min
6/4/2025, 2:38:44 PM2 trades$2010 min
5/3/2025, 4:49:32 PM8 trades$1634 min
3/9/2026, 5:39:03 PM3 trades$1441 min
8/12/2025, 7:10:22 AM5 trades$1433 min
1/8/2026, 4:49:50 PM3 trades$1431 min
12/3/2025, 12:18:15 PM5 trades$1422 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-09
12-22
03-06
06-04
08-19
11-24
04-06
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 344 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.72/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.7 / M3.3 / H92