@arbbbbbb

#373,29974

0xcbc7229860f2146d2228a469655baef3f7ea63d6

~16d· 24 markets · 40 tradesVol: $70,4662026-08-02 04:11:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (14/19)20/20
1.78x (win $92 / loss $52)12.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.01115/15
Sortino 6.75810/10
$+0.0398 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 1155 (19 markets)6.7/10
7/11 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 74% of peak ($30 / $41)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 74%
Profitable
PnL $+30
Consistent
7/11 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,443,257$-18Vol: $37,987
🏛️ POLITICS#110,333$32Vol: $15,192
🎭 CULTURE#738,347$-27Vol: $9,000
📈 ECONOMICS#22,800$32Vol: $7,963
CRYPTO#235,920$10Vol: $298
💻 TECH#54,019$1Vol: $19

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$30
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$70,466
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
28B / 12S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$30
Vol: $70,466

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
14W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$30
Win Rate
74%
14W / 5L
Profit Factor
1.78x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $69 (2.33085250338295% of PnL)

Top Winners

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$30
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$22
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$17
Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?$8
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$7
76ers vs. Thunder$4
Will Biden pardon SBF?$1
Newcastle United wins the Premier League?$1
Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?$1
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1

Top Losers

Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-27
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$-15
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$-3
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-3
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.200
Sortino
0.280
HHI
697
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.049
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.7%
Top-5 markets
53.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
16
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — normal for humanCV 1.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.26
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.6%
Mid (20-55c)10.7%
High (>55c)60.7%

Sessions

#12
12/28/2025, 1:41:35 PM5 trades$3276 min
12/28/2024, 11:42:36 AM4 trades$2131 min
9/18/2025, 11:59:12 AM4 trades$1631 min
6/27/2025, 6:26:53 AM1 trades$1090 min
6/25/2026, 3:42:40 AM4 trades$802 min
3/28/2026, 2:36:45 PM1 trades$600 min
10/28/2025, 9:10:37 AM5 trades$577 min
5/31/2025, 3:01:02 PM2 trades$571 min
10/31/2025, 4:08:43 PM1 trades$550 min
1/27/2026, 3:02:19 PM1 trades$520 min
3/31/2026, 5:26:27 PM5 trades$470 min
11/5/2025, 2:39:03 PM2 trades$371 min
7/26/2025, 4:01:30 PM1 trades$270 min
1/7/2025, 12:32:29 PM2 trades$211 min
8/25/2025, 10:48:55 AM1 trades$110 min
2/28/2025, 3:55:05 PM1 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-28
01-07
02-28
05-31
06-27
08-25
09-18
10-28
10-31
11-05
12-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.6 / M10.7 / H60.7