@lampo

#2,880,21321

0xcd5c5f3470de3379146308823445b40431b8f0a4

~44d· 231 markets · 587 tradesVol: $84,3452026-08-02 05:12:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (160/217)20/20
0.36x (win $1,991 / loss $5,499)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.3300/15
Sortino -5.3310/10
$-0.1671 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2426 (217 markets)0.4/10
9/28 profitable days (32%)0.5/10
Max DD 1547% of peak ($3,767 / $244)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 74%
Win Streak
16 wins in a row

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,585,837$-350Vol: $76,521
CRYPTO#1,470,412$-102Vol: $5,408
📈 ECONOMICS#666,303$-177Vol: $1,667
💰 FINANCE#626,266$-78Vol: $455
💻 TECH#9,081$44Vol: $294

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-663
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$84,345
Total Redeem
$599
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
231
total markets
Trades
331B / 256S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

Periods

#2
Today
$-15
Vol: $0
Week
$10
Vol: $0
Month
$-40
Vol: $0
All Time
$-663
Vol: $84,345

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
160W / 57L events
Realized PnL
$-663
Win Rate
74%
160W / 57L
Profit Factor
0.36x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-100

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $774 (1.1681226331115437% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$473
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$180
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$121
Iran leadership change by April 30?$101
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$99
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$88
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$86
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$84
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$81
US forces enter Iran by March 14?$69

Top Losers

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-1,375
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-1,367
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-487
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-455
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-450
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-280
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-240
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-202
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 10?$-86
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.274
Sortino
-0.253
HHI
178
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.224
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
21.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.3m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 98s — normal for humanCV 1.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.06
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.4%
Mid (20-55c)9.7%
High (>55c)81%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 6:18:40 AM13 trades$15,1415 min
6/17/2026, 7:02:38 PM3 trades$10,0000 min
6/8/2026, 6:37:55 PM23 trades$3,0372 min
6/12/2026, 8:05:28 PM31 trades$2,7228 min
6/15/2026, 6:40:16 PM12 trades$1,6967 min
7/23/2026, 5:28:45 PM15 trades$1,6645 min
3/29/2026, 11:33:00 AM4 trades$1,4374 min
5/16/2026, 8:53:06 AM18 trades$1,4066 min
4/6/2026, 6:03:23 PM2 trades$1,3340 min
7/5/2026, 7:13:55 PM9 trades$1,3340 min
5/1/2026, 9:36:40 AM8 trades$1,2805 min
5/2/2026, 6:36:56 AM4 trades$1,2551 min
3/31/2026, 6:22:21 PM22 trades$1,2416 min
6/8/2026, 6:45:30 PM11 trades$1,1673 min
6/6/2026, 11:29:42 AM4 trades$1,1360 min
5/1/2026, 11:54:12 AM9 trades$1,1221 min
5/31/2026, 6:18:39 PM10 trades$1,0804 min
4/6/2026, 6:12:05 PM7 trades$1,0371 min
7/1/2026, 6:13:59 AM9 trades$9472 min
3/12/2026, 7:07:33 PM3 trades$9386 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-05
01-09
03-09
03-31
05-01
05-28
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 65 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.4 / M9.7 / H81