@0xcded23a5ed6ef4d045ca2fd3dd7a02b9f7b3b1ec

#108,1597

0xcded23a5ed6ef4d045ca2fd3dd7a02b9f7b3b1ec

~105d· 685 markets · 8364 tradesVol: $1,322,8442026-08-02 06:51:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (139/655)0/20
0.74x (win $1,079 / loss $1,465)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9130/15
Sortino -2.6860/10
$-0.0182 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1081 (655 markets)7.1/10
25/93 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 519% of peak ($479 / $92)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+578
Lottery Player
95% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#6,457$688Vol: $877,098
🏛️ POLITICS#1,572,381$-255Vol: $408,574
SPORTS#86,684$205Vol: $11,607
CRYPTO#1,300,388$-26Vol: $9,814
💰 FINANCE#598,906$-23Vol: $6,099
🌤️ WEATHER#259,564$-19Vol: $4,340
📈 ECONOMICS#636,107$-29Vol: $876
📢 MENTIONS#14,623$20Vol: $277

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$578
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,322,844
Total Redeem
$125
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
685
total markets
Trades
7454B / 910S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~105d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$578
Vol: $1,322,844

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
139W / 516L events
Realized PnL
$578
Win Rate
21%
139W / 516L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $260 (0.4497759166652247% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$114
Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5$81
Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 3.5$65
Jonah Kusi Asare: Anytime Goalscorer$49
Jeremiah Mensah: Anytime Goalscorer$49
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$40
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5)$39
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on March 20?$32
Yannick Eduardo: Anytime Goalscorer$32
Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5$31

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-246
Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)$-46
Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)$-42
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-25
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-20
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-19
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?$-19
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-19
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-19
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-17

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.100
Sortino
-0.133
HHI
1759
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.8%
Top-5 markets
81.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
71.5
Very active
Markets / Day
5.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.6m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
32.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
36.8

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 104s — normal for humanCV 32.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock71 trades/day — mass trading5.9 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.44
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)95%
Mid (20-55c)1.1%
High (>55c)3.9%

Sessions

#12
3/31/2026, 7:23:55 PM2 trades$5,0700 min
3/31/2026, 4:08:31 PM5 trades$4,7230 min
4/6/2026, 5:54:51 PM18 trades$3,6757 min
6/13/2026, 3:57:37 PM7 trades$2,0113 min
4/6/2026, 2:07:05 PM4 trades$1,5700 min
4/23/2026, 9:29:26 AM39 trades$1,48419 min
6/14/2026, 5:37:13 AM2 trades$1,4100 min
6/17/2026, 1:20:58 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/14/2026, 6:37:25 AM9 trades$7850 min
4/10/2026, 2:53:25 PM4 trades$7410 min
4/18/2026, 5:19:08 AM3 trades$7310 min
6/17/2026, 12:34:59 PM2 trades$5000 min
5/3/2026, 2:52:50 PM3 trades$3620 min
4/4/2026, 2:48:47 PM22 trades$3540 min
4/9/2026, 3:41:11 AM81 trades$25925 min
5/16/2026, 1:36:54 PM3 trades$2140 min
6/23/2026, 3:11:04 PM4 trades$2021 min
4/5/2026, 3:17:15 PM26 trades$19812 min
5/15/2026, 4:56:19 AM64 trades$1960 min
3/29/2026, 3:11:02 AM1 trades$1950 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-10
03-26
04-11
05-05
05-21
06-08
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 85 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.44/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L95 / M1.1 / H3.9