@athelstan

#20484

0xcfb69f94b3764e75228515ad9d169570d5f906da

~12d· 39 markets · 12684 tradesVol: $21,061,9762026-08-02 05:12:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (22/39)13.2/20
2.05x (win $4,043,147 / loss $1,971,264)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.59815/15
Sortino 23.59710/10
$+0.4906 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 693 (39 markets)9/10
4/9 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 29% of peak ($593,447 / $2,071,882)8.3/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+913,350
Contrarian
79% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 325.2 entries/market
Whale
$4,222,835 invested
High Roller
$281,522/day
Cool Head
Max DD 29%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
SPORTS#133$913,350Vol: $21,061,976

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$913,350
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,061,976
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
8709B / 3975S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
22W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$913,350
Win Rate
56%
22W / 17L
Profit Factor
2.05x
Avg Win
$183,779
Avg Loss
$-115,957

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,944,206 (2.128654441188628% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$888,693
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$681,208
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5$374,305
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$357,760
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$296,600
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5$191,928
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$185,350
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?$161,827
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$150,462
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)$136,923

Top Losers

Will England win on 2026-06-17?$-626,810
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5$-418,291
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)$-377,493
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$-222,490
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$-97,532
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-80,978
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-07?$-74,323
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5$-29,028
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-12,677
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5$-8,961

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.424
Sortino
1.111
HHI
661
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.491
Kelly %
25.2%
Half-Kelly
12.6%
Top-1 market
14.8%
Top-5 markets
47.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
845.6
Very active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
5s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
21 min
Avg Trades / Session
205.7

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
60% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 9.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock846 trades/day — automation2.6 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
325.23
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.2%
Mid (20-55c)53.3%
High (>55c)21.5%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 1:37:23 AM330 trades$830,6736 min
6/18/2026, 12:34:01 PM270 trades$583,62533 min
6/17/2026, 7:07:49 PM118 trades$567,9645 min
6/18/2026, 2:36:43 PM118 trades$496,0241 min
6/19/2026, 7:55:19 PM810 trades$389,239123 min
6/12/2026, 7:43:13 AM446 trades$328,45551 min
6/18/2026, 12:38:40 AM104 trades$316,3248 min
6/13/2026, 6:21:57 AM347 trades$305,62412 min
6/12/2026, 8:50:51 AM375 trades$271,38240 min
6/13/2026, 4:57:54 AM944 trades$269,78635 min
6/17/2026, 4:54:05 PM34 trades$247,2955 min
6/13/2026, 4:38:21 AM181 trades$173,3542 min
6/7/2026, 12:39:40 PM274 trades$136,52460 min
6/11/2026, 10:14:00 AM81 trades$136,0397 min
6/17/2026, 7:40:34 PM106 trades$123,0003 min
6/18/2026, 11:20:13 AM1669 trades$115,65968 min
6/9/2026, 6:06:07 PM290 trades$114,3496 min
6/20/2026, 12:12:10 AM178 trades$106,26317 min
6/13/2026, 4:27:37 AM73 trades$99,7681 min
6/18/2026, 5:29:29 PM87 trades$94,0005 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-07
06-10
06-11
06-12
06-13
06-17
06-18
06-19
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 325.23/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L25.2 / M53.3 / H21.5