@Fire13
#2,903,521300xd063422a28763b6ce0b2640f27867ed1e3555ccd
~124d· 133 markets · 1055 tradesVol: $291,0242026-08-02 06:38:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (67/120)12.9/20
0.64x (win $12,421 / loss $19,279)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5040/15
Sortino -2.8820/10
$-0.0816 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 211 (120 markets)10/10
40/71 profitable days (56%)6.6/10
Max DD 520% of peak ($8,490 / $1,631)0/10
Badges
4DCA Master
Avg 7.4 entries/market
Whale
$84,076 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#7,401$3,952Vol: $135,388
₿ CRYPTO#1,654,209$-2,655Vol: $127,323
🎭 CULTURE#807,670$-698Vol: $12,652
⚽ SPORTS#1,785,538$-423Vol: $8,742
📈 ECONOMICS#678,106$-1,012Vol: $4,707
🌤️ WEATHER#200,127$-1Vol: $781
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-834
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$291,024
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
133
total markets
Trades
592B / 463S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~124d
Periods
#2Today
$5
Vol: $0
Week
$362
Vol: $0
Month
$85
Vol: $0
All Time
$-834
Vol: $291,024
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
67W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$-834
Win Rate
56%
67W / 53L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$185
Avg Loss
$-371
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,273 (5.122654966974742% of PnL)
Top Winners
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?$2,209
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?$1,137
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?$928
Nothing Ever Happens: Airdrops Edition$867
US x Iran ceasefire before July? $714
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$683
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?$577
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?$359
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?$346
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$343
Top Losers
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?$-3,197
Will Elon apologize to Trump before July?$-1,985
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,933
Israel military action against Iran before July?$-1,765
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-1,538
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-1,278
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?$-773
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?$-698
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-677
US military action against Iran before August?$-610
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.130
Sortino
-0.120
HHI
189
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.085
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4%
Top-5 markets
18.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 62s — normal for humanCV 1.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.39
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14%
Mid (20-55c)31.2%
High (>55c)54.7%
Sessions
#126/4/2026, 1:52:06 PM23 trades$6,9525 min
6/23/2025, 11:11:55 PM16 trades$5,11512 min
6/27/2025, 9:26:43 AM16 trades$4,75614 min
11/22/2025, 11:15:23 PM8 trades$4,02313 min
6/9/2025, 12:39:36 AM4 trades$3,7032 min
6/21/2025, 6:49:58 PM10 trades$3,4319 min
7/8/2025, 10:29:41 PM7 trades$3,32312 min
8/6/2025, 7:45:52 AM1 trades$3,2700 min
6/10/2025, 9:39:25 PM6 trades$2,7363 min
4/27/2026, 11:32:18 AM11 trades$2,4983 min
6/21/2025, 6:28:46 AM4 trades$2,4064 min
8/2/2025, 10:31:22 PM2 trades$2,3540 min
5/11/2026, 10:14:03 PM9 trades$2,1691 min
10/28/2025, 10:36:55 PM3 trades$2,0741 min
6/22/2025, 9:21:44 AM8 trades$2,0737 min
7/3/2025, 9:39:53 AM5 trades$1,9918 min
6/24/2025, 12:35:27 PM3 trades$1,9731 min
11/21/2025, 10:20:21 PM16 trades$1,95513 min
6/9/2025, 1:05:20 AM6 trades$1,9439 min
5/23/2026, 8:54:24 PM4 trades$1,9330 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-05
07-01
08-03
09-26
11-17
12-15
05-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 222 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14 / M31.2 / H54.7