@fresh

#3,055,36835

0xd064251efc30a38c3323e42113656144d4b8c4d1

~185d· 4412 markets · 16663 tradesVol: $463,1612026-08-02 07:06:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (2778/4355)16.9/20
0.87x (win $26,213 / loss $30,083)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4420/15
Sortino -0.5690/10
$-0.0308 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 159 (4355 markets)10/10
103/175 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 154% of peak ($13,678 / $8,878)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 64%
Whale
$125,853 invested
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,429$-6,916Vol: $172,093
CRYPTO#1,635,644$-1,602Vol: $158,025
💰 FINANCE#3,316$1,345Vol: $50,681
🎭 CULTURE#773,729$-79Vol: $29,572
📈 ECONOMICS#679,850$-1,959Vol: $25,584
SPORTS#1,810,430$-694Vol: $21,988
📢 MENTIONS#167,956$-175Vol: $2,469
💻 TECH#213,887$-5Vol: $1,066
🌤️ WEATHER#257,428$-17Vol: $104

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-10,146
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$463,161
Total Redeem
$1,459
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4412
total markets
Trades
10642B / 6021S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~185d

Periods

#2
Today
$300
Vol: $0
Week
$1,716
Vol: $0
Month
$271
Vol: $94
All Time
$-10,146
Vol: $463,161

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
2778W / 1577L events
Realized PnL
$-10,106
Win Rate
64%
2778W / 1577L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,966 (0.8871755190409% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$5,538
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$2,704
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?$724
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$506
Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above $27.5B?$495
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$493
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$351
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in May?$317
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$290
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.55B?$249

Top Losers

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$-9,223
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?$-1,997
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?$-1,964
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$-1,368
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$-698
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?$-690
Will Oracle Q4 Remaining Performance Obligations be above $500B?$-595
Will Oracle Q4 Remaining Performance Obligations be above $600B?$-594
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-501
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-442

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.023
Sortino
-0.019
HHI
112
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
15.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
86.8
Very active
Markets / Day
23.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
23.0m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
64.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 6.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock87 trades/day — mass trading23 markets/day — mass coverage31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.78
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.9%
Mid (20-55c)30.2%
High (>55c)53.9%

Sessions

#12
5/19/2026, 1:26:25 PM69 trades$18,02710 min
6/6/2026, 7:28:33 AM7 trades$13,5534 min
7/2/2026, 12:30:49 PM44 trades$4,5780 min
6/10/2026, 12:30:18 PM37 trades$2,9810 min
5/19/2026, 1:41:45 PM95 trades$2,84513 min
6/10/2026, 8:06:16 PM146 trades$2,7357 min
5/21/2026, 8:01:34 PM101 trades$2,73415 min
7/29/2026, 8:01:18 PM115 trades$2,5648 min
5/12/2026, 1:08:39 PM9 trades$2,5434 min
5/5/2026, 2:04:24 PM15 trades$2,4211 min
5/6/2026, 5:18:31 PM422 trades$2,19372 min
6/15/2026, 4:48:10 AM15 trades$2,1551 min
6/23/2026, 1:19:01 PM20 trades$2,0550 min
4/21/2026, 7:22:24 AM102 trades$1,97321 min
6/11/2026, 5:53:13 PM33 trades$1,9507 min
5/5/2026, 2:16:14 PM2 trades$1,8240 min
6/25/2026, 6:41:34 AM8 trades$1,7370 min
6/16/2026, 12:57:07 PM65 trades$1,55032 min
7/22/2026, 8:02:15 PM74 trades$1,5026 min
5/5/2026, 1:01:06 PM53 trades$1,48218 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-22
02-21
03-24
04-28
05-30
06-28
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 56 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.9 / M30.2 / H53.9