@aplsy
#2,900,42300xd0969648b94ec95a88c7b22c63ba098c490cde63
~16d· 26 markets · 143 tradesVol: $18,4902026-08-02 07:41:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
23% (3/13)0/20
0.27x (win $200 / loss $752)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -15.7840/15
Sortino -12.3610/10
$-0.2886 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2477 (13 markets)0.1/10
2/8 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 1666% of peak ($587 / $35)0/10
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,593,102$-441Vol: $8,023
💰 FINANCE#642,124$-221Vol: $4,465
₿ CRYPTO#1,224,192$-16Vol: $2,483
💻 TECH#247,586$-94Vol: $1,923
📈 ECONOMICS#640,161$-35Vol: $1,367
⚽ SPORTS#439,093$1Vol: $229
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-806
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,490
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
83B / 60S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-806
Vol: $18,490
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
23%
3W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-806
Win Rate
23%
3W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$67
Avg Loss
$-75
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $200 (0.24824155512274998% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by July 31?$145
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$54
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$2
Top Losers
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $39B by July 31?$-213
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-190
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $85B by July 31?$-186
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$-76
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $17B by July 31?$-49
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on July 31, 2026?$-17
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?$-14
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?$-6
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?$-1
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 in July?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.773
Sortino
-0.899
HHI
297
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.712
Kelly %
6.9%
Half-Kelly
3.4%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
35.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
8.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 1.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule8 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.77
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)16.9%
Mid (20-55c)18.1%
High (>55c)65.1%
Sessions
#127/9/2026, 8:09:52 PM5 trades$7632 min
7/5/2026, 8:09:43 PM2 trades$5520 min
7/7/2026, 5:50:17 PM6 trades$5502 min
7/3/2026, 3:55:08 PM5 trades$2671 min
7/2/2026, 5:47:13 PM8 trades$2142 min
7/1/2026, 7:33:23 AM9 trades$1643 min
7/11/2026, 7:51:44 PM9 trades$1622 min
7/13/2026, 4:44:49 PM19 trades$13912 min
6/28/2026, 2:14:13 PM3 trades$1381 min
7/1/2026, 7:26:01 AM1 trades$1250 min
7/5/2026, 2:59:25 AM1 trades$1210 min
7/5/2026, 8:03:02 PM4 trades$1110 min
7/6/2026, 5:13:04 PM4 trades$1041 min
7/11/2026, 3:57:32 PM2 trades$1030 min
6/30/2026, 11:31:02 PM4 trades$961 min
7/10/2026, 3:56:20 PM1 trades$750 min
6/28/2026, 12:59:56 AM3 trades$421 min
7/7/2026, 1:30:58 PM6 trades$351 min
7/9/2026, 2:52:14 AM8 trades$303 min
7/12/2026, 1:22:22 PM4 trades$251 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-27
06-28
07-01
07-05
07-06
07-07
07-09
07-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.9 / M18.1 / H65.1