@KAI2026B3

#47,44860

0xd27de9f83ff9f5c2ef769fa966fca1ea5966fa96

~63d· 198 markets · 2384 tradesVol: $172,5032026-08-02 05:09:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (79/179)7.1/20
1.40x (win $14,716 / loss $10,544)7.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.53615/15
Sortino 5.91210/10
$+0.1220 per $1 invested6.1/10
HHI 275 (179 markets)10/10
13/42 profitable days (31%)0.2/10
Max DD 52% of peak ($4,386 / $8,487)3.7/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+2,251
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#11,422$2,055Vol: $113,363
SPORTS#137,962$76Vol: $31,402
💰 FINANCE#12,986$184Vol: $14,022
📈 ECONOMICS#9,664$155Vol: $6,269
🌤️ WEATHER#281,509$-78Vol: $2,700
CRYPTO#270,619$6Vol: $1,339

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,251
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$172,503
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
198
total markets
Trades
851B / 1533S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~63d

Periods

#2
Today
$-166
Vol: $850
Week
$183
Vol: $850
Month
$-118
Vol: $7,055
All Time
$2,251
Vol: $172,503

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
79W / 99L events
Realized PnL
$2,251
Win Rate
44%
79W / 99L
Profit Factor
1.4x
Avg Win
$186
Avg Loss
$-121

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,872 (3.942231385495861% of PnL)

Top Winners

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3,844
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$2,944
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2,084
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$883
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$636
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$480
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$444
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$392
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$375
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$355

Top Losers

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-1,155
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-1,076
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$-1,024
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-567
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?$-562
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-557
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$-475
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-400
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$-350
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-339

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.079
Sortino
0.304
HHI
244
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.131
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
24.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 416s — normal for humanCV 2.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.15
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.2%
Mid (20-55c)27.8%
High (>55c)63%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 1:57:46 AM24 trades$3,1311 min
6/4/2026, 1:07:01 AM19 trades$2,4925 min
6/9/2026, 7:05:52 PM23 trades$2,2758 min
6/9/2026, 6:20:54 PM4 trades$2,2340 min
6/11/2026, 12:47:24 PM5 trades$2,1844 min
6/18/2026, 2:59:14 AM24 trades$2,0790 min
6/14/2026, 9:41:01 PM9 trades$1,8801 min
6/9/2026, 8:17:07 AM40 trades$1,8308 min
5/27/2026, 11:18:35 PM25 trades$1,8140 min
5/27/2026, 3:23:00 PM6 trades$1,7861 min
6/7/2026, 9:02:22 PM13 trades$1,5680 min
6/14/2026, 9:19:34 PM19 trades$1,5435 min
6/6/2026, 3:18:19 AM12 trades$1,3748 min
7/24/2026, 12:53:33 PM13 trades$1,3170 min
6/21/2026, 10:03:43 PM12 trades$1,3037 min
5/31/2026, 2:40:23 AM13 trades$1,2592 min
6/5/2026, 11:33:54 AM27 trades$1,2401 min
6/8/2026, 4:31:43 PM6 trades$1,1861 min
6/15/2026, 12:52:45 AM12 trades$1,1720 min
6/10/2026, 12:03:13 PM18 trades$1,1654 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-08
05-26
06-08
06-19
07-06
07-27
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.2 / M27.8 / H63