@bigticketchicken

#3,028,37920

0xd2aefe830ebe42d817a65c7b2bccab0ec362f36b

~284d· 3584 markets · 20183 tradesVol: $1,151,531 @squirrelpnut2026-08-02 06:30:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (1439/3529)5.4/20
0.96x (win $67,526 / loss $70,000)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3310/15
Sortino -0.6600/10
$-0.0114 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 18 (3529 markets)10/10
99/253 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 491% of peak ($10,260 / $2,089)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
Whale
$216,206 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,848,115$-1,744Vol: $541,987
🏛️ POLITICS#1,620,478$-1,512Vol: $126,792
CRYPTO#1,615,404$-1,007Vol: $90,559
🎭 CULTURE#24,357$76Vol: $83,032
💰 FINANCE#651,471$-759Vol: $51,092
🌤️ WEATHER#282,121$-82Vol: $46,951
📢 MENTIONS#167,099$-151Vol: $25,437
📈 ECONOMICS#667,439$-199Vol: $21,613
💻 TECH#3,096$296Vol: $9,983

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,665
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,151,531
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3584
total markets
Trades
15156B / 5027S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~284d

Periods

#2
Today
$-15
Vol: $149
Week
$952
Vol: $149
Month
$336
Vol: $5,382
All Time
$-3,665
Vol: $1,151,531

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
1440W / 2089L events
Realized PnL
$-3,653
Win Rate
41%
1440W / 2089L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$47
Avg Loss
$-35

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,288 (2.2687702566573225% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$4,700
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 25?$2,220
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$1,367
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$1,055
Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$848
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$691
LoL Cross Regional: DK vs C9$640
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?$526
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?$469
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner$458

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-2,395
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-1,085
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-857
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-639
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$-621
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 8?$-543
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?$-499
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$-464
Will Romelu Lukaku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-446
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-436

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.017
Sortino
-0.030
HHI
15
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
4.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
31.7
Active
Markets / Day
5.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.6m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
34.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 134s — normal for humanCV 1.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock32 trades/day — high frequency5.6 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.49
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.9%
Mid (20-55c)38.1%
High (>55c)35.9%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 11:21:45 PM83 trades$5,54614 min
6/12/2026, 12:10:40 PM27 trades$2,9657 min
6/18/2026, 3:42:14 AM4 trades$2,6015 min
7/23/2026, 4:14:43 AM2 trades$2,2000 min
6/20/2026, 2:17:13 AM96 trades$2,14642 min
7/5/2026, 10:05:58 PM25 trades$2,0215 min
5/17/2026, 1:42:27 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
5/18/2026, 6:59:34 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
7/15/2026, 4:57:56 AM39 trades$1,77613 min
6/14/2026, 9:36:48 PM94 trades$1,56133 min
6/4/2026, 1:01:18 AM103 trades$1,53933 min
7/17/2026, 3:08:16 AM15 trades$1,4000 min
6/11/2026, 3:40:52 AM21 trades$1,33719 min
6/16/2026, 9:08:28 PM28 trades$1,3159 min
6/16/2026, 1:56:22 AM60 trades$1,28926 min
5/16/2026, 11:15:18 PM6 trades$1,2750 min
5/16/2026, 10:06:59 PM79 trades$1,22438 min
5/12/2026, 9:29:20 PM14 trades$1,2093 min
6/5/2026, 3:46:06 PM33 trades$1,19317 min
6/8/2026, 5:28:46 PM25 trades$1,1699 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
09-25
11-14
12-28
02-24
06-19
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 390 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.49/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L25.9 / M38.1 / H35.9