@electionone

#2,385,18119

0xd2d863545bb52ca1a6f4cf7c2be38af9ab1b05f3

~18d· 21 markets · 72 tradesVol: $78,2302026-08-02 06:21:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (10/19)11.3/20
0.32x (win $26 / loss $82)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.9140/15
Sortino -10.3110/10
$-0.0566 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1023 (19 markets)7.4/10
4/13 profitable days (31%)0.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($55 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
77% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,493,067$-25Vol: $56,656
🏛️ POLITICS#1,423,125$-32Vol: $20,767
💰 FINANCE#44,727$16Vol: $315
CRYPTO#1,226,540$-16Vol: $252
📈 ECONOMICS#98,512$1Vol: $240

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-55
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$78,230
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
47B / 25S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
10W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-55
Win Rate
53%
10W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.32x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23 (0.4075076700956506% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$12
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$5
Solana ETF approved in 2025?$5
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$1
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?$1
Will Ons Jabeur be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?$0
Will XRP dip to $1.0 in July?$0
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$0
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0

Top Losers

Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?$-18
Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?$-15
Will Jamie Vardy be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$-13
Will Tatjana Maria be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$-12
Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election?$-12
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-6
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-5
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.549
Sortino
-0.758
HHI
828
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.063
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.6%
Top-5 markets
58.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 398s — normal for humanCV 1.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.42
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)76.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)23.4%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 6:39:47 AM4 trades$2681 min
12/31/2024, 12:58:12 PM4 trades$2091 min
9/4/2025, 10:01:20 AM3 trades$1352 min
7/21/2025, 3:47:23 PM2 trades$1291 min
4/20/2026, 8:44:28 AM9 trades$1161 min
12/4/2025, 8:55:37 AM2 trades$1072 min
4/16/2025, 1:59:27 PM1 trades$1070 min
1/31/2026, 4:40:26 PM1 trades$680 min
6/30/2025, 5:13:34 PM1 trades$260 min
1/6/2025, 2:49:37 AM2 trades$221 min
7/14/2025, 3:33:16 PM1 trades$220 min
8/29/2025, 10:49:15 AM1 trades$150 min
1/2/2025, 9:23:48 AM1 trades$140 min
2/28/2025, 3:45:57 PM1 trades$130 min
4/21/2025, 12:25:44 PM1 trades$120 min
1/3/2025, 8:02:43 AM2 trades$91 min
1/2/2025, 1:20:29 PM1 trades$70 min
3/28/2026, 2:35:27 PM1 trades$50 min
1/2/2025, 5:19:18 PM3 trades$45 min
3/28/2026, 9:38:19 AM1 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
01-06
04-16
06-30
09-04
03-29
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.42/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L76.6 / M0 / H23.4