@0xd3760017D649f54DdeFC7311eFa598Be53B2231d-1784531370159

#3,028,9719

0xd3760017d649f54ddefc7311efa598be53b2231d

~12d· 27 markets · 1203 tradesVol: $189,9452026-08-02 02:49:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (7/22)0.9/20
0.24x (win $2,011 / loss $8,345)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.3280/15
Sortino -6.8720/10
$-0.4036 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1229 (22 markets)6.4/10
6/16 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 1640% of peak ($6,745 / $411)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
High Roller
$1,308/day

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#813,909$-2,752Vol: $163,072
💰 FINANCE#651,729$-803Vol: $19,574
₿ CRYPTO#1,548,484$-242Vol: $2,811
📈 ECONOMICS#602,818$-11Vol: $2,001
📢 MENTIONS#8,762$53Vol: $1,397
🌤️ WEATHER#16,534$19Vol: $1,089

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,736
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$189,945
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
235B / 968S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$49
Vol: $0
Week
$-3,195
Vol: $0
Month
$-726
Vol: $7,465
All Time
$-3,736
Vol: $189,945

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
7W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-3,785
Win Rate
32%
7W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.24x
Avg Win
$287
Avg Loss
$-596

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,853 (0.48958176471986875% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$1,464
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?$303
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$86
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$85
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$51
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$7

Top Losers

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-2,617
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?$-1,816
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?$-1,311
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$-1,068
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?$-686
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-399
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$-166
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$-85
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of July?$-84
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.371
Sortino
-0.299
HHI
1364
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.421
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.3%
Top-5 markets
77.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
100.2
Very active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
57%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.7

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 73s — normal for humanCV 1.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)57% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity100 trades/day — automation2.2 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
48.55
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.5%
Mid (20-55c)44.3%
High (>55c)41.3%

Sessions

#12
7/27/2026, 6:23:07 AM14 trades$5,2980 min
7/23/2026, 3:22:46 AM94 trades$3,80112 min
7/30/2026, 12:23:02 AM59 trades$2,9022 min
7/25/2026, 4:58:45 PM50 trades$2,4374 min
7/24/2026, 12:10:01 AM38 trades$2,1074 min
8/1/2026, 3:16:56 AM22 trades$2,0231 min
7/24/2026, 2:02:33 PM25 trades$1,9671 min
7/27/2026, 1:01:21 AM48 trades$1,8767 min
7/23/2026, 5:58:49 PM66 trades$1,8474 min
7/30/2026, 1:39:06 AM37 trades$1,7497 min
7/31/2026, 7:04:03 AM72 trades$1,6668 min
7/27/2026, 12:41:15 AM39 trades$1,11910 min
7/31/2026, 2:30:00 AM38 trades$9511 min
8/1/2026, 3:10:45 AM31 trades$8960 min
7/25/2026, 4:43:01 AM11 trades$8930 min
7/23/2026, 6:30:10 AM10 trades$8463 min
7/22/2026, 12:02:03 PM10 trades$8341 min
7/30/2026, 3:20:33 AM30 trades$7323 min
7/22/2026, 12:08:12 PM3 trades$7200 min
7/25/2026, 11:40:46 PM20 trades$7074 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-21 16:00:00
2026-07-22 04:10:00
2026-07-22 04:20:00
2026-07-22 04:35:00
2026-07-22 10:15:00
2026-07-28 16:00:00
2026-07-31 03:59:00
2026-07-31 23:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
80.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 48.55/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.5 / M44.3 / H41.3