@aaronjmars
#2,959,635120xd3982ba03b6fc275c89b89842d76a47791a3f00b
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
27% (16/59)0/20
0.19x (win $354 / loss $1,888)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.0410/15
Sortino -7.4600/10
$-0.2139 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 344 (59 markets)10/10
10/26 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,535 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
64% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Categories
8⚽ SPORTS#1,725,485$-170Vol: $165,736
🏛️ POLITICS#1,532,515$-115Vol: $39,967
₿ CRYPTO#1,507,532$-147Vol: $30,124
💰 FINANCE#645,037$-307Vol: $19,245
💻 TECH#250,112$-132Vol: $13,906
🎭 CULTURE#803,221$-412Vol: $9,620
📢 MENTIONS#160,781$-75Vol: $705
📈 ECONOMICS#115,341$1Vol: $52
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,404
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$281,712
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
64
total markets
Trades
131B / 121S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,404
Vol: $281,712
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
27%
16W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$-1,404
Win Rate
27%
16W / 43L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-56
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $250 (0.17773046716461482% of PnL)
Top Winners
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?$140
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$72
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$38
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$28
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $22
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?$15
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$15
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? $13
Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?$6
Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4?$2
Top Losers
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$-259
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?$-200
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?$-117
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-106
Will the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?$-103
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?$-100
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?$-100
Will the HBO documentary identify Paul Le Roux as Satoshi?$-100
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.413
Sortino
-0.340
HHI
176
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.281
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
18.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.1m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
49
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — normal for humanCV 1.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.19
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)64.1%
Mid (20-55c)6.1%
High (>55c)29.8%
Sessions
#126/3/2026, 3:08:43 PM27 trades$1,8702 min
4/2/2026, 4:30:55 PM27 trades$1,1830 min
8/25/2025, 1:31:11 PM1 trades$5000 min
10/29/2025, 4:06:23 PM9 trades$5004 min
11/10/2025, 7:20:56 PM30 trades$46513 min
11/21/2025, 5:12:27 PM5 trades$4652 min
9/5/2025, 3:40:50 PM1 trades$4050 min
10/3/2025, 1:17:47 PM4 trades$4001 min
4/17/2026, 9:51:46 PM4 trades$4000 min
6/23/2026, 3:55:22 PM18 trades$3411 min
11/5/2025, 5:48:35 PM5 trades$2874 min
11/3/2025, 2:04:35 PM1 trades$2790 min
4/28/2026, 8:24:40 PM9 trades$2412 min
11/10/2025, 7:00:50 PM2 trades$2291 min
6/19/2026, 8:43:07 PM5 trades$2130 min
7/2/2024, 10:18:30 AM1 trades$2010 min
6/30/2024, 9:55:55 AM1 trades$2010 min
9/6/2025, 9:05:28 PM1 trades$2000 min
11/10/2025, 7:07:52 PM4 trades$2000 min
1/7/2026, 2:24:31 PM2 trades$2000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-26
05-21
10-07
11-05
01-07
06-03
06-23
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.19/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L64.1 / M6.1 / H29.8