Etanol

@Etanol

#12,10623

0xd399ba186f89721f79e0a72bfa6c9babd2e13f46

~166d· 262 markets · 139734 tradesVol: $65,772,3832026-08-02 06:25:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (111/229)9.2/20
0.12x (win $17,731 / loss $147,638)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3240/15
Sortino -3.2780/10
$-0.3029 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 744 (229 markets)8.8/10
35/71 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 102769% of peak ($130,034 / $127)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+12,307
Lottery Player
94% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 607.1 entries/market
Whale
$428,843 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders

Categories

9
SPORTS#3,148$17,857Vol: $65,560,058
🏛️ POLITICS#1,632,643$-4,929Vol: $132,621
CRYPTO#1,611,248$-913Vol: $45,566
🎭 CULTURE#17,691$131Vol: $21,309
💰 FINANCE#17,439$108Vol: $11,048
🌤️ WEATHER#10,795$45Vol: $845
📢 MENTIONS#16,332$15Vol: $215
📈 ECONOMICS#521,779$-2Vol: $200
💻 TECH#219,427$-6Vol: $120

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12,307
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$65,772,383
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
262
total markets
Trades
84526B / 55208S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~166d

Periods

#2
Today
$14
Vol: $0
Week
$60
Vol: $0
Month
$-30
Vol: $0
All Time
$12,307
Vol: $65,772,383

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
111W / 118L events
Realized PnL
$12,307
Win Rate
48%
111W / 118L
Profit Factor
0.12x
Avg Win
$160
Avg Loss
$-1,284

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,180 (0.42090967001751806% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,990
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,702
Will Croatia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$1,488
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,289
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,147
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$922
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$669
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$623
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$588
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$559

Top Losers

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-79,443
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-15,963
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,744
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,088
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6,088
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-4,706
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,235
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,200
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,792
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,564

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.173
Sortino
-0.125
HHI
761
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.339
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.9%
Top-5 markets
45.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
290.5
Very active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
12.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
151 min
Avg Trades / Session
399.4

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — normal for humanCV 12.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock291 trades/day — automation0.5 markets/day — normal99% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
607.05
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)94.2%
Mid (20-55c)0.5%
High (>55c)5.3%

Sessions

#12
4/2/2026, 7:58:09 PM740 trades$29,118276 min
4/2/2026, 7:32:41 PM32 trades$23,04620 min
4/12/2026, 1:09:49 AM4157 trades$20,871808 min
4/7/2026, 10:59:33 PM130 trades$14,31142 min
4/24/2026, 11:34:14 AM41 trades$10,6481 min
6/23/2026, 3:34:10 PM120 trades$10,3460 min
4/29/2026, 10:46:44 PM45 trades$9,76116 min
4/28/2026, 2:56:14 PM15 trades$8,3543 min
6/18/2026, 2:41:25 AM84 trades$8,28711 min
5/21/2026, 9:36:11 AM2 trades$6,3120 min
4/8/2026, 12:34:45 AM3364 trades$6,100323 min
6/3/2026, 2:18:27 PM1 trades$5,7740 min
3/31/2026, 10:22:37 PM85 trades$5,72921 min
6/4/2026, 9:57:15 PM12 trades$5,6719 min
6/17/2026, 9:46:32 PM33 trades$5,08213 min
6/24/2026, 12:30:50 AM15 trades$4,99418 min
3/19/2026, 2:49:57 PM35 trades$4,65648 min
3/16/2026, 9:11:15 PM92 trades$4,01585 min
5/4/2026, 1:25:58 AM1 trades$3,9690 min
4/11/2026, 10:25:15 PM684 trades$3,908156 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-22
02-21
03-16
04-12
06-04
06-16
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 165 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 607.05/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L94.2 / M0.5 / H5.3