@timberfox
#24,403630xd3ae24a39cf21417de88b79ed72b6d28a6385b63
~23d· 37 markets · 253 tradesVol: $67,2522026-08-02 08:02:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
25% (8/32)0/20
1.76x (win $5,760 / loss $3,275)12/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.09015/15
Sortino 12.18110/10
$+0.3311 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 836 (32 markets)8.3/10
2/18 profitable days (11%)0/10
Max DD 31% of peak ($1,108 / $3,593)7.8/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+5,206
Lottery Player
70% entries < $0.20
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#6,094$5,261Vol: $65,795
🎭 CULTURE#710,997$-15Vol: $1,107
⚽ SPORTS#1,556,790$-39Vol: $350
Overview
#1Net PnL
$5,206
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$67,252
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
128B / 125S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d
Periods
#2Today
$-152
Vol: $0
Week
$-360
Vol: $0
Month
$-268
Vol: $2,200
All Time
$5,206
Vol: $67,252
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
25%
8W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$5,206
Win Rate
25%
8W / 24L
Profit Factor
1.76x
Avg Win
$720
Avg Loss
$-149
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,905 (0.7501277337912541% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$2,320
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$985
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$601
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$589
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$569
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?$408
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$146
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$142
Top Losers
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?$-1,205
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$-240
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-220
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$-200
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-199
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$-199
Iran leadership change by June 30?$-120
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$-110
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$-100
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-100
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.157
Sortino
0.745
HHI
927
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.351
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.3%
Top-5 markets
61.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 88s — normal for humanCV 1.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.91
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)69.5%
Mid (20-55c)6.2%
High (>55c)24.2%
Sessions
#126/8/2026, 11:08:01 AM4 trades$2,0000 min
7/23/2026, 8:04:58 AM13 trades$1,7073 min
6/14/2026, 8:28:51 PM13 trades$1,3597 min
6/7/2026, 4:02:00 PM24 trades$1,2215 min
5/22/2026, 7:28:14 AM3 trades$1,2030 min
6/7/2026, 7:26:37 PM6 trades$1,0840 min
5/22/2026, 7:57:53 PM6 trades$9520 min
6/7/2026, 7:08:37 PM7 trades$9380 min
5/31/2026, 7:36:50 PM13 trades$8271 min
6/7/2026, 7:44:00 PM14 trades$8241 min
5/18/2026, 8:06:37 AM2 trades$7140 min
6/8/2026, 8:09:13 AM2 trades$7090 min
2/17/2026, 1:13:43 PM2 trades$6000 min
6/14/2026, 6:44:00 PM2 trades$5840 min
4/24/2026, 7:30:10 PM15 trades$5201 min
6/10/2026, 9:15:43 PM7 trades$4910 min
4/21/2026, 10:50:10 AM12 trades$4294 min
6/14/2026, 12:55:27 PM6 trades$4250 min
2/27/2026, 11:32:01 AM2 trades$4000 min
6/21/2026, 7:02:31 AM12 trades$3950 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-12
02-05
02-17
04-24
05-31
06-14
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.91/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L69.5 / M6.2 / H24.2