@LillianColeridge

#3,044,05618

0xd48165a42bb4eeb5971e5e830c068eef0890af35

~28d· 40 markets · 93 tradesVol: $5,959,8132026-08-02 04:11:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (14/36)4.4/20
0.06x (win $379 / loss $6,133)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1520/15
Sortino -4.0600/10
$-0.0440 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 635 (36 markets)9.3/10
10/22 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 64667% of peak ($6,040 / $9)0/10

Badges

1
Whale
$130,764 invested

Categories

4
📈 ECONOMICS#681,445$-5,867Vol: $5,802,783
🏛️ POLITICS#1,408,483$-27Vol: $80,438
SPORTS#1,526,851$-31Vol: $76,578
CRYPTO#830,528$-1Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,926
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,959,813
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
50B / 43S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-5,926
Vol: $5,959,813

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
14W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-5,926
Win Rate
39%
14W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-279

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $205 (0.034523604628795314% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$90
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$74
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$41
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$32
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?$29
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?$13
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$7

Top Losers

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-5,768
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-184
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$-99
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$-15
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?$-12
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-6
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-6
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-6
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.212
Sortino
-0.158
HHI
379
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.056
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
29.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.6m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
30
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 0.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.25
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6%
Mid (20-55c)12%
High (>55c)82%

Sessions

#12
2/15/2026, 6:10:45 AM13 trades$51,5467 min
6/20/2026, 9:32:11 AM23 trades$45,2937 min
2/11/2026, 9:04:25 AM7 trades$34,7535 min
2/13/2026, 9:57:25 AM6 trades$28,6074 min
2/13/2026, 9:49:43 AM4 trades$11,5031 min
5/26/2026, 2:44:17 PM5 trades$8,0160 min
3/18/2026, 6:32:23 AM1 trades$5,7680 min
4/25/2026, 9:53:48 AM2 trades$4,0190 min
12/18/2025, 2:40:37 PM1 trades$6260 min
1/26/2026, 12:29:41 PM1 trades$6000 min
12/20/2025, 7:46:02 AM1 trades$5160 min
12/27/2025, 3:49:07 AM1 trades$5100 min
12/6/2025, 3:34:17 PM1 trades$4830 min
8/6/2025, 8:22:02 AM4 trades$3941 min
10/19/2024, 4:18:19 AM2 trades$3390 min
12/19/2024, 9:09:46 AM3 trades$2622 min
7/4/2025, 9:11:15 AM2 trades$1981 min
11/1/2024, 7:40:30 AM1 trades$1840 min
10/29/2024, 1:28:46 PM1 trades$1810 min
4/28/2025, 11:07:38 AM2 trades$1770 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-19
11-20
03-09
07-04
12-27
02-13
04-24
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 542 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6 / M12 / H82