@0xd497873a13dc9f215fc86c04438c2894a5c142c5

38

0xd497873a13dc9f215fc86c04438c2894a5c142c5

~22d· 28 markets · 118 trades2026-08-02 06:23:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

77% (20/26)20/20
0.41x (win $4,413 / loss $10,871)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6940/15
Sortino -3.7390/10
$-0.1719 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 985 (26 markets)7.6/10
13/18 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($8,068 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 77%
Consistent
13/18 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,749
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,566
Total Redeem
$2,697
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
89B / 29S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
20W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-4,749
Win Rate
77%
20W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$221
Avg Loss
$-1,812

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,952 (0.8322468162522741% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,400
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1,352
Hurricanes vs. Devils$1,200
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$140
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$72
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$56
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$53
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?$28
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$23
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$21

Top Losers

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-7,700
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians$-2,059
Magic vs. Celtics$-800
Red Sox vs. Brewers$-275
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?$-35
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.188
Sortino
-0.110
HHI
836
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.187
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.5%
Top-5 markets
52.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 466s — normal for humanCV 2.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.96
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.2%
Mid (20-55c)43.8%
High (>55c)53.9%

Sessions

#12
5/18/2025, 3:54:16 AM1 trades$7,7000 min
4/25/2025, 7:57:11 PM5 trades$6,7014 min
4/8/2026, 7:12:25 PM9 trades$2,9640 min
4/29/2025, 1:40:48 AM1 trades$2,9330 min
7/8/2025, 5:12:05 PM1 trades$2,9100 min
5/19/2026, 3:10:17 PM5 trades$1,4030 min
4/23/2025, 11:10:02 PM4 trades$1,4022 min
5/23/2026, 4:25:06 PM3 trades$1,4001 min
4/30/2026, 8:27:34 PM2 trades$1,3970 min
3/30/2026, 8:01:53 PM1 trades$1,2400 min
1/31/2026, 4:10:54 PM2 trades$1,0280 min
10/31/2025, 12:04:05 AM1 trades$8480 min
6/26/2026, 1:06:18 PM18 trades$8301 min
4/23/2025, 6:33:28 PM2 trades$8000 min
10/30/2025, 7:45:09 PM3 trades$6661 min
10/31/2025, 3:49:21 PM1 trades$6500 min
4/15/2026, 9:15:14 PM12 trades$4354 min
2/3/2026, 3:34:08 PM2 trades$3821 min
4/15/2026, 9:26:50 PM1 trades$3600 min
5/28/2025, 7:15:20 PM2 trades$2750 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
04-29
07-08
01-31
03-30
04-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.96/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.2 / M43.8 / H53.9