@juliannagelsmann
#3,071,20280xd49f5853b265bb1c30f25d60d891f7f1749a4507
~9d· 26 markets · 793 tradesVol: $12,936,7262026-08-02 06:26:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
4% (1/26)0/20
0.52x (win $233,606 / loss $447,961)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.4810/15
Sortino -7.7000/10
$-0.3572 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 887 (26 markets)8.1/10
1/8 profitable days (12%)0/10
Max DD 232% of peak ($376,771 / $162,416)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
63% entries < $0.20
Whale
$600,105 invested
High Roller
$42,865/day
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,882,504$-753,735Vol: $12,936,726
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-753,735
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,936,726
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
217B / 576S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
4%
1W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-753,735
Win Rate
4%
1W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$233,606
Avg Loss
$-17,918
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $233,606 (0.3099316541294858% of PnL)
Top Winners
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?$233,606
Top Losers
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-80,110
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-76,581
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?$-38,725
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?$-33,362
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Belgium?$-26,132
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?$-23,851
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?$-23,148
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?$-20,790
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?$-12,260
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?$-12,000
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.268
Sortino
-0.632
HHI
2227
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.357
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
40%
Top-5 markets
79.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
56.6
Very active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
49.7m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.0
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastCV 6.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours12/24 hours — normal schedule57 trades/day — mass trading1.9 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
30.5
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)62.7%
Mid (20-55c)30%
High (>55c)7.4%
Sessions
#127/15/2026, 10:48:52 PM5 trades$494,8070 min
7/9/2026, 1:40:10 PM45 trades$454,5061 min
7/11/2026, 8:47:01 PM23 trades$261,6484 min
7/4/2026, 7:06:58 PM6 trades$245,3610 min
7/9/2026, 1:57:53 PM64 trades$145,5181 min
7/4/2026, 4:34:05 PM18 trades$122,8030 min
7/6/2026, 11:19:58 PM28 trades$102,8494 min
7/11/2026, 11:01:44 PM96 trades$82,5891 min
7/7/2026, 12:39:20 AM74 trades$80,5343 min
7/4/2026, 8:47:13 PM14 trades$73,0303 min
7/7/2026, 12:11:25 AM65 trades$53,8935 min
7/2/2026, 9:13:05 PM2 trades$45,4550 min
7/4/2026, 8:18:04 PM2 trades$44,4440 min
7/9/2026, 2:07:41 PM25 trades$43,5090 min
7/5/2026, 11:29:11 PM2 trades$37,5000 min
7/7/2026, 1:21:59 AM48 trades$36,2210 min
7/11/2026, 9:03:02 PM19 trades$32,5620 min
7/2/2026, 11:53:31 PM38 trades$24,4890 min
7/7/2026, 12:53:07 AM2 trades$23,5290 min
7/2/2026, 7:16:34 PM39 trades$21,7741 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-02
07-03
07-04
07-05
07-07
07-09
07-11
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 30.5/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L62.7 / M30 / H7.4