@VanWarner
#271,916720xd4ac621abad1c551025b0264320f8becce6d3590
~22d· 39 markets · 111 tradesVol: $13,1922026-08-02 07:06:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
51% (18/35)10.7/20
2.89x (win $152 / loss $53)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.81315/15
Sortino 8.37810/10
$+0.0113 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 875 (35 markets)8.1/10
10/20 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($51 / $151)7.2/10
Badges
1Profitable
PnL $+74
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#1,091,650$-4Vol: $7,442
⚽ SPORTS#115,958$110Vol: $3,015
📈 ECONOMICS#490,217$-1Vol: $2,350
₿ CRYPTO#1,208,810$-15Vol: $280
💰 FINANCE#601,932$-25Vol: $80
Overview
#1Net PnL
$74
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,192
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
53B / 58S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d
Periods
#2Week
$-25
Vol: $0
All Time
$74
Vol: $13,192
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
51%
18W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$74
Win Rate
51%
18W / 17L
Profit Factor
2.89x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-4
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $152 (2.046759196873737% of PnL)
Top Winners
Spread: Germany (-1.5)$144
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?$4
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 in May?$0
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on June 24?$0
Will Solana dip to $30 in January?$0
Will Solana reach $340 in August?$0
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 in July?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August?$0
Top Losers
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?$-51
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$-0
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$-0
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?$-0
Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$-0
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?$-0
Will Lenny Martinez win the Tour de France 2025?$-0
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?$-0
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$-0
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.143
Sortino
0.295
HHI
200
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
28.8%
Half-Kelly
14.4%
Top-1 market
10%
Top-5 markets
26.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
29.5m
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
23
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 1.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.49
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.9%
Mid (20-55c)1.9%
High (>55c)96.2%
Sessions
#126/22/2026, 3:16:56 AM36 trades$4,4934 min
6/29/2026, 12:18:53 PM4 trades$1,8460 min
5/15/2025, 7:47:16 PM9 trades$1,2812 min
5/27/2025, 11:02:27 AM7 trades$9201 min
5/20/2025, 11:38:21 PM5 trades$6931 min
6/18/2026, 6:01:53 AM4 trades$6781 min
6/17/2026, 7:54:55 AM2 trades$1950 min
2/28/2026, 3:17:23 AM3 trades$1162 min
7/14/2025, 1:06:06 PM4 trades$821 min
1/19/2026, 3:31:38 AM2 trades$740 min
7/23/2025, 8:37:53 AM3 trades$731 min
11/27/2025, 1:50:21 AM4 trades$681 min
8/18/2025, 12:20:42 AM4 trades$661 min
1/28/2026, 9:10:59 AM1 trades$640 min
7/27/2026, 8:54:33 AM3 trades$620 min
7/1/2026, 9:04:44 AM4 trades$460 min
5/23/2026, 8:27:17 AM2 trades$410 min
4/11/2026, 8:21:27 AM4 trades$400 min
6/18/2026, 8:43:16 AM2 trades$330 min
12/31/2025, 1:31:07 AM2 trades$220 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-15
07-14
08-30
12-31
02-28
06-17
07-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.49/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.9 / M1.9 / H96.2