donchon

@donchon

#3,070,58528

0xd4dafa21aad27e8514b5a5dad9278c3ece243175

~149d· 2255 markets · 9597 tradesVol: $10,464,7032026-08-02 05:28:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (1160/2252)10.8/20
0.95x (win $2,218,899 / loss $2,333,278)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7220/15
Sortino -0.9170/10
$-0.0214 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 23 (2252 markets)10/10
78/146 profitable days (53%)5.9/10
Max DD 219% of peak ($213,153 / $97,199)0/10

Badges

6
Contrarian
69% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
9% sells
Whale
$5,345,996 invested
High Roller
$11,827/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,882,194$-185,970Vol: $10,463,995
🎭 CULTURE#22,120$90Vol: $638
🏛️ POLITICS#1,284,857$-11Vol: $51
CRYPTO#946,413$-2Vol: $12
💻 TECH#45,506$1Vol: $3
💰 FINANCE#266,687$0Vol: $2
📈 ECONOMICS#139,057$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-185,892
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,464,703
Total Redeem
$362,295
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2255
total markets
Trades
8723B / 874S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~149d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-185,892
Vol: $10,464,703

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
1160W / 1092L events
Realized PnL
$-185,892
Win Rate
52%
1160W / 1092L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$1,913
Avg Loss
$-2,145

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $164,413 (0.8844546687862498% of PnL)

Top Winners

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5$87,001
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)$46,819
Morocco leading at halftime?$30,593
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$29,878
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$25,848
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score$24,396
Timberwolves vs. Jazz$23,399
Harry Kane: 1+ goals$23,271
Bulls vs. Kings$16,112
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$15,869

Top Losers

Germany leading at halftime?$-62,016
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$-59,473
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score$-56,332
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score$-50,497
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks$-40,114
Timberwolves vs. Spurs$-27,774
Belgium leading at halftime?$-25,921
Portugal leading at halftime?$-22,247
Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-6.5)$-21,337
Hornets vs. Magic$-21,248

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.038
Sortino
-0.040
HHI
20
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.2
Active
Markets / Day
5.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.3m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 92s — normal for humanCV 2.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency5.0 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.26
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.9%
Mid (20-55c)62.5%
High (>55c)30.6%

Sessions

#12
4/24/2026, 7:30:00 PM28 trades$55,9753 min
3/23/2026, 9:31:15 PM15 trades$43,5002 min
6/17/2026, 4:20:46 PM70 trades$42,44438 min
6/20/2026, 6:45:34 PM2 trades$40,3880 min
3/18/2026, 4:35:09 PM4 trades$40,1145 min
1/4/2026, 9:00:19 PM11 trades$38,22920 min
6/17/2026, 10:36:35 PM94 trades$35,8867 min
6/20/2026, 12:17:52 AM12 trades$35,2572 min
5/4/2026, 4:10:54 PM36 trades$34,76716 min
4/26/2026, 5:44:22 PM22 trades$33,77526 min
2/27/2026, 11:13:35 PM4 trades$32,6904 min
6/24/2026, 9:44:17 PM34 trades$30,8749 min
1/31/2026, 5:17:06 PM1 trades$30,2600 min
6/19/2026, 9:27:43 PM133 trades$25,51323 min
2/1/2026, 7:49:28 PM3 trades$24,9002 min
3/19/2026, 10:18:01 PM1 trades$23,7150 min
4/29/2026, 10:22:54 PM2 trades$23,6570 min
1/18/2026, 5:48:28 PM2 trades$23,0732 min
3/24/2026, 7:59:49 PM1 trades$22,7010 min
4/29/2026, 8:00:38 PM2 trades$22,0580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-16
01-09
02-02
02-27
03-31
05-10
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.26/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L6.9 / M62.5 / H30.6