AmphibiousCaldwellPope

@AmphibiousCaldwellPope

#4,29849

0xd529dd5115ea1d2835f1af6ac80f10117e59f0d4

~199d· 1278 markets · 9758 tradesVol: $2,828,3442026-08-02 07:04:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (761/1272)14.9/20
1.03x (win $290,690 / loss $281,270)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4207.9/15
Sortino 0.5045/10
$+0.0091 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 90 (1272 markets)10/10
95/159 profitable days (60%)7.4/10
Max DD 98% of peak ($35,405 / $35,988)0/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+40,094
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 7.5 entries/market
Whale
$1,032,759 invested
High Roller
$4,530/day
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,622$40,524Vol: $2,793,997
🏛️ POLITICS#1,597,010$-499Vol: $28,216
🎭 CULTURE#25,657$69Vol: $6,130

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$40,094
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,828,344
Total Redeem
$77,305
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1278
total markets
Trades
7701B / 2057S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~199d

Periods

#2
Today
$26
Vol: $0
Week
$98
Vol: $0
Month
$-76
Vol: $0
All Time
$40,094
Vol: $2,828,344

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
761W / 511L events
Realized PnL
$40,094
Win Rate
60%
761W / 511L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$382
Avg Loss
$-575

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,386 (0.3338560229860403% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$6,467
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$4,278
Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 16.5$2,641
Knicks vs. Spurs$2,439
Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 221.5$2,217
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5$2,188
Heat vs. Pistons: O/U 237.5$2,180
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5$2,167
Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5$2,153
Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5$2,145

Top Losers

Knicks vs. Spurs$-20,597
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$-6,706
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-5,766
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-4,630
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,114
Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5$-2,750
Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 11.5$-2,605
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5$-2,600
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5$-2,430
Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5$-2,413

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.022
Sortino
0.020
HHI
106
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
4.3%
Half-Kelly
2.2%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
15%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
42.8
Active
Markets / Day
5.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.1m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.3

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 3.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock43 trades/day — high frequency5.6 markets/day — normal85% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.55
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.1%
Mid (20-55c)52.4%
High (>55c)45.5%

Sessions

#12
5/17/2026, 1:51:24 PM2 trades$32,9190 min
6/6/2026, 3:01:37 AM25 trades$14,21410 min
4/4/2026, 9:58:53 PM64 trades$14,07813 min
5/16/2026, 4:11:33 AM12 trades$11,6000 min
6/14/2026, 3:28:57 AM12 trades$9,7000 min
2/24/2026, 7:18:52 AM57 trades$9,42030 min
1/21/2026, 2:27:08 PM19 trades$9,06915 min
4/6/2026, 6:05:25 PM13 trades$8,7281 min
2/24/2026, 3:52:40 PM55 trades$7,09626 min
3/4/2026, 3:48:21 PM4 trades$6,4627 min
1/17/2026, 12:28:12 PM27 trades$6,43527 min
6/30/2026, 4:04:46 PM36 trades$6,25114 min
6/14/2026, 2:07:27 AM16 trades$6,0125 min
1/24/2026, 2:55:38 PM13 trades$5,84013 min
1/19/2026, 1:49:58 AM29 trades$5,60525 min
6/29/2026, 4:35:05 PM1 trades$5,4640 min
3/12/2026, 7:42:23 AM24 trades$5,2226 min
6/21/2026, 5:26:25 AM9 trades$5,1002 min
1/30/2026, 12:12:14 PM47 trades$4,84715 min
12/31/2025, 10:06:51 AM27 trades$4,84210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-16
01-12
02-07
03-08
04-08
05-13
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 70 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.55/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.1 / M52.4 / H45.5