@Geopoliticz

#2,774,22621

0xd59c099d12a3748542c522230cfadab6ce61bb63

~27d· 45 markets · 294 tradesVol: $80,5142026-08-02 08:01:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (22/42)11.2/20
0.79x (win $3,827 / loss $4,857)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2280/15
Sortino -1.7040/10
$-0.0739 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 791 (42 markets)8.5/10
7/21 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 176% of peak ($2,380 / $1,351)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.3 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,619,896$-1,317Vol: $48,433
SPORTS#44,297$769Vol: $18,632
🎭 CULTURE#802,293$-376Vol: $7,330
CRYPTO#1,446,639$-86Vol: $344
💰 FINANCE#558,222$-7Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-295
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$80,514
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
190B / 104S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-295
Vol: $80,514

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
22W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-295
Win Rate
52%
22W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$174
Avg Loss
$-243

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,003 (10.16711809317443% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$2,361
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs$402
France vs. Morocco: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5$240
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$158
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner$129
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$114
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$106
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$81
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B$50
Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-07?$38

Top Losers

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-2,320
Iran leadership change by May 31?$-540
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$-504
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$-420
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$-353
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5$-260
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 18?$-143
Lakers vs. Pistons$-50
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$-50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-47

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.063
Sortino
-0.079
HHI
434
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.105
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.3%
Top-5 markets
36.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 300s — normal for humanCV 2.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.31
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.7%
Mid (20-55c)8.9%
High (>55c)37.4%

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 4:48:29 AM2 trades$3,0000 min
4/8/2026, 2:37:07 PM8 trades$2,6900 min
7/7/2026, 10:56:25 PM6 trades$2,2460 min
4/5/2026, 4:03:01 AM4 trades$2,1961 min
6/30/2026, 5:52:31 PM14 trades$1,9210 min
7/1/2026, 10:46:32 AM4 trades$1,9020 min
3/24/2026, 7:43:55 AM1 trades$1,3550 min
7/2/2026, 10:04:28 PM4 trades$1,1570 min
3/22/2026, 3:48:55 PM2 trades$1,1213 min
7/4/2026, 6:35:22 PM2 trades$9760 min
3/24/2026, 7:14:01 PM1 trades$8590 min
4/7/2026, 12:21:43 PM4 trades$8330 min
4/1/2026, 9:34:41 AM24 trades$7941 min
7/3/2026, 5:50:58 PM13 trades$6960 min
3/28/2026, 8:25:59 AM15 trades$6724 min
3/22/2026, 2:04:55 PM2 trades$5401 min
4/1/2026, 9:29:35 AM7 trades$5380 min
3/25/2026, 1:45:55 AM1 trades$5000 min
3/17/2026, 4:51:53 AM3 trades$4816 min
3/31/2026, 1:48:49 AM2 trades$4483 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-16
03-20
03-24
03-31
04-06
04-11
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.31/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.7 / M8.9 / H37.4