@fxcougar

#2,666,38842

0xd5ad2f7f97be8852d87e0cec4568ef279ba65a42

~129d· 442 markets · 787 tradesVol: $27,487 @fx_cougar2026-08-02 16:57:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (203/442)8/20
1.04x (win $4,556 / loss $4,385)3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4478.4/15
Sortino 0.7257.2/10
$+0.0219 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 43 (442 markets)10/10
59/126 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 199% of peak ($980 / $493)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
79% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,698,992$-122Vol: $27,276
🏛️ POLITICS#1,061,912$-3Vol: $77
CRYPTO#1,237,242$-17Vol: $75
📈 ECONOMICS#597,790$-10Vol: $37
💰 FINANCE#571,651$-10Vol: $22

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-163
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,487
Total Redeem
$287
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
442
total markets
Trades
471B / 316S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~129d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $0
Week
$-53
Vol: $0
Month
$-18
Vol: $45
All Time
$-163
Vol: $27,487

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
203W / 239L events
Realized PnL
$-157
Win Rate
46%
203W / 239L
Profit Factor
1.04x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $603 (3.841605606881173% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$393
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$117
Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$93
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$78
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score$73
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score$56
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)$54
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)$54
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians$54
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5$54

Top Losers

Spread: Bengals (-8.5)$-100
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$-60
Spread: Rams (-3.5)$-50
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5$-50
Texans vs. Patriots$-50
Cavaliers vs. Pistons$-50
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)$-50
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$-50
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5$-50
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.023
Sortino
0.040
HHI
36
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
6.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5952s — normal for humanCV 0.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal1.8 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.78
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.4%
Mid (20-55c)78.3%
High (>55c)21.2%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 4:30:34 PM2 trades$2190 min
12/29/2025, 5:13:35 PM8 trades$1727 min
6/26/2026, 1:09:34 AM4 trades$1550 min
1/5/2026, 12:40:51 AM2 trades$1530 min
6/14/2026, 3:20:48 AM4 trades$1500 min
6/28/2026, 3:19:43 AM2 trades$1430 min
6/27/2026, 3:22:05 AM2 trades$1330 min
6/21/2026, 4:54:47 PM6 trades$1321 min
12/8/2025, 12:08:39 AM3 trades$1315 min
1/5/2026, 1:14:47 AM2 trades$1182 min
11/23/2025, 9:22:57 PM3 trades$1121 min
12/30/2025, 4:24:07 PM4 trades$1102 min
12/29/2025, 4:37:59 PM5 trades$1014 min
12/30/2025, 3:26:59 PM4 trades$1002 min
1/4/2026, 3:55:57 PM1 trades$1000 min
12/27/2025, 11:13:17 PM5 trades$1001 min
12/28/2025, 9:17:59 PM2 trades$961 min
12/30/2025, 10:42:29 PM2 trades$935 min
12/5/2025, 2:05:35 AM3 trades$933 min
12/31/2025, 1:50:25 PM3 trades$904 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-21
12-13
01-03
01-24
05-10
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 178 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.78/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L0.4 / M78.3 / H21.2