@1d87b776-d24b-4d1c-ad70-1f2b2051ceea
220xd602bea812a32320720b0bed323f66014bcc0105
~129d· 275 markets · 2006 trades2026-08-02 05:12:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (116/270)6.5/20
0.86x (win $57,314 / loss $66,299)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6880/15
Sortino -1.0810/10
$-0.0437 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 274 (270 markets)10/10
48/97 profitable days (49%)4.9/10
Max DD 138% of peak ($32,507 / $23,523)0/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
Whale
$205,787 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-7,862
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$205,787
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
275
total markets
Trades
1646B / 360S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~129d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
116W / 154L events
Realized PnL
$-7,862
Win Rate
43%
116W / 154L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$494
Avg Loss
$-431
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,336 (2.7136830296956163% of PnL)
Top Winners
Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?$11,055
Israel military action against Iran before July?$5,535
US-China trade deal before June?$4,747
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$3,596
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?$3,130
US military action against Iran before July?$3,057
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?$2,126
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?$2,109
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June?$2,022
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?$1,474
Top Losers
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?$-7,767
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$-5,586
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?$-4,827
Nuggets vs. Thunder$-4,526
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?$-3,429
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?$-2,959
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?$-2,791
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-2,537
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$-2,500
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$-2,474
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.036
Sortino
-0.045
HHI
221
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.045
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
24.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 2.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.01
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)34.4%
Mid (20-55c)33.7%
High (>55c)31.9%
Sessions
#127/21/2025, 8:07:15 AM23 trades$10,8765 min
7/31/2026, 7:56:38 AM41 trades$9,7000 min
7/23/2025, 5:05:29 PM8 trades$6,3410 min
6/5/2025, 2:50:06 PM12 trades$4,9838 min
5/6/2025, 5:51:03 PM7 trades$4,1831 min
5/26/2025, 2:09:49 PM4 trades$4,1173 min
5/6/2025, 10:14:54 AM3 trades$3,8912 min
5/6/2025, 8:27:58 PM9 trades$3,6246 min
6/3/2025, 3:29:16 PM23 trades$3,4797 min
8/8/2025, 2:24:49 AM13 trades$3,3733 min
5/29/2025, 3:25:47 PM10 trades$3,1172 min
8/9/2025, 3:25:15 AM15 trades$3,0850 min
6/16/2025, 10:44:18 PM12 trades$3,0299 min
7/9/2025, 1:25:28 PM4 trades$3,0241 min
5/21/2025, 8:19:35 AM1 trades$2,7500 min
5/21/2025, 4:33:25 AM1 trades$2,7500 min
5/20/2025, 4:23:51 AM1 trades$2,6140 min
5/21/2025, 4:22:09 PM4 trades$2,5680 min
6/6/2025, 3:07:50 PM36 trades$2,51920 min
8/6/2025, 2:37:08 PM1 trades$2,5000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-09
04-02
04-29
05-19
06-09
07-24
11-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 163 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.01/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L34.4 / M33.7 / H31.9