@violetnebu
#3,059,79640xd61f625447ea98433779a359e6bb9f1d73dba873
~17d· 47 markets · 454 tradesVol: $497,5262026-08-02 06:53:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
26% (12/47)0/20
0.70x (win $25,509 / loss $36,346)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1020/15
Sortino -3.8280/10
$-0.1597 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1743 (47 markets)3.8/10
4/14 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 246% of peak ($20,359 / $8,272)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
Whale
$67,839 invested
Categories
3⚽ SPORTS#1,876,865$-11,588Vol: $339,365
🏛️ POLITICS#1,625,920$-2,311Vol: $149,616
₿ CRYPTO#1,515,853$-163Vol: $8,545
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-14,062
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$497,526
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
120B / 334S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
26%
12W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-14,062
Win Rate
26%
12W / 35L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$2,126
Avg Loss
$-1,038
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,814 (1.2668263452613433% of PnL)
Top Winners
Kristi Noem out by March 31?$8,441
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$5,003
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$4,370
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$3,736
Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 0 Panama?$1,283
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$961
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$875
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$520
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?$237
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$60
Top Losers
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5$-10,343
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$-6,800
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-4,938
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$-2,220
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$-2,089
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$-1,100
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-1,074
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?$-1,000
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-1,000
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand?$-800
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.157
Sortino
-0.200
HHI
884
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.160
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20%
Top-5 markets
55.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
55%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 348s — normal for humanCV 1.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)55% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 1:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.66
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)39.2%
Mid (20-55c)21.7%
High (>55c)39.2%
Sessions
#126/18/2026, 3:46:29 AM8 trades$50,0000 min
6/18/2026, 3:32:07 AM21 trades$39,1267 min
6/18/2026, 3:58:56 AM6 trades$37,9232 min
5/19/2026, 11:14:02 PM10 trades$23,0276 min
6/18/2026, 12:57:11 AM8 trades$17,7332 min
6/19/2026, 1:09:07 AM33 trades$15,30015 min
6/23/2026, 1:52:20 AM11 trades$13,7993 min
6/15/2026, 5:54:49 PM31 trades$7,8591 min
6/20/2026, 3:01:49 AM31 trades$6,82211 min
6/17/2026, 11:09:17 PM11 trades$6,0631 min
3/8/2026, 9:41:09 AM1 trades$5,0000 min
6/17/2026, 5:47:38 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/20/2026, 1:07:05 AM26 trades$4,8535 min
6/15/2026, 8:35:30 PM17 trades$4,8391 min
6/20/2026, 4:28:01 AM18 trades$4,2604 min
6/17/2026, 8:30:32 PM5 trades$3,5710 min
6/15/2026, 8:25:36 PM42 trades$3,4533 min
6/17/2026, 8:10:32 PM10 trades$3,3335 min
6/15/2026, 8:50:54 PM8 trades$3,0215 min
6/16/2026, 2:40:10 AM4 trades$2,7031 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
03-08
05-19
06-15
06-17
06-19
06-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 126 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.66/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.2 / M21.7 / H39.2