RiskyRetriever

@RiskyRetriever

#146,30530

0xd6f12b5a032dd7fd9ef3804cb0548538bf751abb

~119d· 86 markets · 374 tradesVol: $68,6662026-08-02 06:30:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (46/80)13.7/20
0.80x (win $681 / loss $856)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0960/15
Sortino -1.2780/10
$-0.0231 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 671 (80 markets)9.1/10
35/59 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($466 / $0)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+296
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#26,905$507Vol: $26,289
SPORTS#1,641,727$-75Vol: $24,112
💰 FINANCE#634,042$-115Vol: $8,708
💻 TECH#21,497$7Vol: $3,978
🎭 CULTURE#773,686$-79Vol: $2,276
CRYPTO#1,125,284$-9Vol: $1,880
🌤️ WEATHER#11,796$38Vol: $233
📢 MENTIONS#19,726$10Vol: $80

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$296
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$68,666
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
86
total markets
Trades
218B / 156S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~119d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$296
Vol: $68,666

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
46W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$296
Win Rate
57%
46W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $324 (1.0927939488079963% of PnL)

Top Winners

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$162
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?$40
Will it Snow in Washington D.C. this December?$27
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?$22
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$20
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$16
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$15
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?$14

Top Losers

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$-300
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?$-120
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$-60
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$-43
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-40
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$-35
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?$-34
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$-31
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??$-28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?$-28

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.057
Sortino
-0.044
HHI
763
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.4%
Top-5 markets
45.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
48.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2900s — normal for humanCV 2.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.55
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)49.1%
Mid (20-55c)9.2%
High (>55c)41.7%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 10:46:32 PM4 trades$1,0490 min
7/1/2026, 9:23:52 AM2 trades$9520 min
5/5/2026, 7:11:58 PM16 trades$6001 min
4/19/2026, 7:42:48 PM1 trades$4050 min
4/1/2026, 4:35:31 PM2 trades$3560 min
5/19/2026, 3:27:46 AM1 trades$3360 min
1/27/2026, 7:55:39 PM1 trades$3330 min
5/22/2026, 8:49:44 AM12 trades$3153 min
12/24/2025, 12:12:41 PM1 trades$2760 min
12/16/2025, 5:13:45 PM1 trades$2630 min
1/27/2026, 10:45:29 AM1 trades$2380 min
1/17/2026, 2:35:42 PM2 trades$1955 min
2/28/2026, 11:30:23 AM1 trades$1850 min
5/6/2026, 8:52:44 AM1 trades$1700 min
6/22/2026, 8:10:53 PM4 trades$1671 min
5/1/2026, 2:53:48 PM1 trades$1610 min
6/19/2026, 1:42:04 PM3 trades$1540 min
3/5/2026, 9:18:45 AM3 trades$1531 min
10/31/2025, 6:42:59 PM6 trades$1502 min
3/21/2026, 5:27:49 PM1 trades$1500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-24
11-19
12-09
12-22
02-16
05-05
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.55/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L49.1 / M9.2 / H41.7