@0xd78e89abff29eec7c7db36c7da8d446cb4986421
#2,976,962300xd78e89abff29eec7c7db36c7da8d446cb4986421
~126d· 2369 markets · 3767 tradesVol: $135,7952026-08-02 06:40:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
54% (1201/2240)11.8/20
0.97x (win $12,160 / loss $12,560)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0120/15
Sortino -1.2390/10
$-0.0143 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 59 (2240 markets)10/10
66/124 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 623% of peak ($872 / $140)0/10
Badges
4Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,687
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$135,795
Total Redeem
$47,318
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2369
total markets
Trades
2975B / 792S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~126d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
54%
1201W / 1039L events
Realized PnL
$-1,687
Win Rate
54%
1201W / 1039L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-12
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $290 (0.17205072416512032% of PnL)
Top Winners
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?$178
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs Michael Zheng$58
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 9 above $5.00?$55
Fery vs. Cerundolo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5$36
Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Nikoloz Basilashvili$32
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx$29
Uruguay to score first vs. Cabo Verde?$29
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?$28
Set 1 Winner: Sarksian vs Frydrych$28
Halle Open: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinn$28
Top Losers
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Kamil Majchrzak$-261
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-114
Will Amazon reach $216 in March?$-97
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19?$-52
Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on February 24?$-50
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 19?$-50
Tampere: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Diego Dedura-Palomero$-40
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mariya Yemshanova vs Patricia Georgiana Goina$-38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?$-33
Canucks vs. Avalanche$-32
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.053
Sortino
-0.059
HHI
25
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
8.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
23.1
Active
Markets / Day
14.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
52.4m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 804s — normal for humanCV 1.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency15 markets/day — mass coverage80% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.58
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.9%
Mid (20-55c)57.3%
High (>55c)39.8%
Sessions
#122/17/2026, 4:19:31 PM11 trades$89917 min
2/17/2026, 5:28:43 PM5 trades$3408 min
2/18/2026, 6:21:48 PM4 trades$3068 min
7/29/2026, 4:42:32 PM7 trades$2610 min
2/17/2026, 4:44:05 PM2 trades$2484 min
2/17/2026, 8:08:37 PM1 trades$2410 min
2/17/2026, 4:09:23 PM3 trades$2394 min
2/19/2026, 9:11:24 AM9 trades$20417 min
2/20/2026, 11:43:56 AM1 trades$2000 min
2/20/2026, 6:28:42 AM2 trades$2000 min
2/17/2026, 6:46:07 PM1 trades$2000 min
2/21/2026, 3:22:48 PM1 trades$1960 min
2/18/2026, 1:43:14 PM2 trades$1912 min
2/19/2026, 2:36:52 PM1 trades$1700 min
2/18/2026, 5:02:42 PM2 trades$1574 min
2/19/2026, 2:45:28 PM1 trades$1530 min
2/18/2026, 4:21:10 PM1 trades$1500 min
2/17/2026, 5:43:23 PM1 trades$1490 min
2/24/2026, 4:26:34 PM2 trades$1440 min
4/26/2026, 7:38:36 AM13 trades$1320 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-17
04-12
05-02
05-23
06-12
07-02
07-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 75 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.58/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L2.9 / M57.3 / H39.8