@tdrhrhhd

#5666

0xd7f85d0eb0fe0732ca38d9107ad0d4d01b1289e4

~170d· 68 markets · 10368 tradesVol: $15,655,813 @fortaellinger2026-08-02 06:24:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (21/53)4.8/20
14.37x (win $2,608,125 / loss $181,532)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.27215/15
Sortino 125.74010/10
$+0.7254 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 5373 (53 markets)0/10
11/33 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 3% of peak ($81,347 / $2,507,940)10/10

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+2,445,624
Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
7% sells
Whale
$3,345,322 invested
High Roller
$3,366/day
Cool Head
Max DD 3%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#16$2,360,673Vol: $13,942,772
📈 ECONOMICS#75$90,395Vol: $856,167
₿ CRYPTO#3,254$14,386Vol: $605,664
⚽ SPORTS#1,873,521$-7,101Vol: $105,192
💰 FINANCE#656,943$-8,016Vol: $92,839
🎭 CULTURE#4,881$1,046Vol: $12,064

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,445,627
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,655,813
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
68
total markets
Trades
9683B / 685S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~170d

Periods

#2
Today
$66
Vol: $0
Week
$-11,009
Vol: $0
Month
$-3,996
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,445,627
Vol: $15,655,813

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
21W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$2,445,624
Win Rate
40%
21W / 32L
Profit Factor
14.37x
Avg Win
$124,196
Avg Loss
$-5,673

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,380,734 (0.9734666847517561% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1,454,670
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$596,910
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$329,154
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$80,349
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$57,327
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$53,788
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$25,367
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$8,333
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?$1,061
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?$865

Top Losers

Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?$-43,917
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-29,007
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-29,000
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?$-10,781
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-9,775
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-9,001
Netanyahu out by June 30?$-7,585
LayerZero airdrop in 2023?$-7,448
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$-6,904
Will Berachain launch a token in December?$-5,936

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.220
Sortino
6.373
HHI
3859
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.755
Kelly %
4.5%
Half-Kelly
2.3%
Top-1 market
60.4%
Top-5 markets
83.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.0m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
18.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.0

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 132s — normal for humanCV 18.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active0.1 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
86.83
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)57.7%
Mid (20-55c)22.7%
High (>55c)19.6%

Sessions

#12
11/6/2024, 3:01:49 AM1 trades$1,080,1340 min
11/6/2024, 2:55:45 AM1 trades$990,0000 min
11/6/2024, 2:25:29 AM7 trades$868,0422 min
11/6/2024, 4:52:41 AM2 trades$589,6612 min
11/3/2024, 4:52:30 AM13 trades$555,0000 min
11/6/2024, 1:42:31 AM3 trades$301,8391 min
11/5/2024, 11:49:31 PM24 trades$234,5174 min
11/3/2024, 12:17:51 PM3 trades$228,6122 min
11/3/2024, 6:22:42 AM27 trades$226,4891 min
11/3/2024, 10:13:46 AM25 trades$209,6983 min
11/3/2024, 9:56:44 AM7 trades$171,0000 min
10/20/2024, 2:35:03 AM1 trades$164,8160 min
11/1/2024, 3:11:28 AM41 trades$148,1403 min
11/3/2024, 10:08:18 AM19 trades$113,0000 min
3/23/2026, 8:47:23 PM1 trades$105,9460 min
11/3/2024, 6:35:57 AM125 trades$70,6917 min
11/1/2024, 2:51:04 AM41 trades$62,1082 min
1/29/2026, 5:34:12 PM9 trades$55,0720 min
11/3/2024, 12:25:48 PM53 trades$49,2527 min
12/14/2025, 7:38:19 PM6 trades$49,0756 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-25
10-08
11-02
12-04
12-29
01-23
04-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 123 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 86.83/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.7 / M22.7 / H19.6