chive

@chive

#2,761,49434

0xd7fdbf1bfca227235037b2a94502b8aef436886a

~178d· 351 markets · 12772 tradesVol: $1,436,3622026-08-02 04:04:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (197/317)16.1/20
0.63x (win $1,246 / loss $1,985)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6600/15
Sortino -2.9540/10
$-0.0257 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 151 (317 markets)10/10
70/115 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 848% of peak ($837 / $99)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
6% sells
Consistent
70/115 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#46,045$188Vol: $812,117
📈 ECONOMICS#628,122$-21Vol: $281,476
SPORTS#1,775,107$-345Vol: $252,720
CRYPTO#1,264,623$-20Vol: $47,621
🎭 CULTURE#680,494$-9Vol: $31,993
🌤️ WEATHER#199,860$-1Vol: $800

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-273
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,436,362
Total Redeem
$30
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
351
total markets
Trades
11966B / 806S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~178d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
197W / 120L events
Realized PnL
$-273
Win Rate
62%
197W / 120L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $364 (1.3316748371990927% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$137
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$128
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$99
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$92
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$57
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Score$54
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$45
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$33
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$30
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$29

Top Losers

Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?$-294
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?$-120
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$-116
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$-100
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$-97
Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score$-66
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?$-61
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$-60
Spread: France (-1.5)$-60
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner$-56

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.139
Sortino
-0.107
HHI
22
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.066
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
6.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
50.9
Very active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
17.6m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.9

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 169s — normal for humanCV 9.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock51 trades/day — mass trading1.4 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.37
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.1%
Mid (20-55c)3.2%
High (>55c)50.7%

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 3:43:10 AM49 trades$7,19429 min
6/5/2026, 4:17:33 AM15 trades$2,9005 min
5/14/2026, 7:25:39 AM17 trades$2,1373 min
5/21/2026, 11:39:35 AM131 trades$1,1379 min
6/13/2026, 5:09:43 AM13 trades$9977 min
5/13/2026, 3:58:40 AM29 trades$6206 min
6/10/2026, 3:19:18 AM15 trades$5978 min
6/2/2026, 12:55:58 AM154 trades$49158 min
5/10/2026, 8:22:23 AM20 trades$4810 min
6/12/2026, 7:59:10 PM32 trades$4437 min
5/12/2026, 12:04:13 PM5 trades$3835 min
12/6/2025, 12:10:53 PM2 trades$3214 min
12/5/2025, 4:45:59 PM1 trades$3000 min
12/4/2025, 3:32:45 PM1 trades$2990 min
12/10/2025, 4:37:36 PM1 trades$2970 min
12/3/2025, 4:38:31 PM1 trades$2940 min
12/2/2025, 4:22:30 PM5 trades$2921 min
12/2/2025, 4:28:38 PM1 trades$2920 min
12/2/2025, 3:40:36 PM1 trades$2910 min
12/1/2025, 4:47:50 PM1 trades$2880 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-09
12-26
01-21
02-13
03-25
05-12
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 212 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.37/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.1 / M3.2 / H50.7