@GeorgeFuhrer
190xd8a0b6d3721e3e676febb95919167466e6542c5a
~131d· 218 markets · 1068 trades2026-08-02 08:57:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
40% (85/211)5.1/20
0.70x (win $34,746 / loss $49,407)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9710/15
Sortino -2.3210/10
$-0.0533 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 272 (211 markets)10/10
42/93 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 7096% of peak ($23,045 / $325)0/10
Badges
3Whale
$275,225 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-25,400
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$275,225
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
218
total markets
Trades
578B / 490S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~131d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
40%
85W / 126L events
Realized PnL
$-25,400
Win Rate
40%
85W / 126L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$409
Avg Loss
$-415
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,653 (0.41940509223534894% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$5,100
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?$3,249
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$2,303
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?$1,621
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?$1,043
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$1,036
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$1,020
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$987
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?$980
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?$894
Top Losers
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$-7,010
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-5,976
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-3,610
Will Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$-3,365
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$-3,265
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?$-3,204
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$-3,030
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$-2,000
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?$-1,618
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-1,554
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.103
Sortino
-0.099
HHI
250
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.056
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.8%
Top-5 markets
24.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 547s — normal for humanCV 2.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.69
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)18.9%
Mid (20-55c)22.8%
High (>55c)58.3%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 5:55:35 PM7 trades$21,2920 min
11/22/2025, 3:59:59 PM4 trades$18,0383 min
12/29/2025, 11:08:11 AM3 trades$13,9916 min
6/17/2026, 2:53:17 PM20 trades$11,5640 min
11/24/2025, 2:53:39 PM9 trades$11,09411 min
11/24/2025, 2:07:41 PM1 trades$10,7010 min
6/17/2026, 9:53:32 PM2 trades$10,2880 min
12/8/2025, 10:42:21 PM3 trades$7,7895 min
11/28/2025, 11:34:31 AM2 trades$7,3523 min
11/23/2025, 6:21:15 PM2 trades$7,0001 min
12/6/2025, 12:02:35 PM1 trades$7,0000 min
6/14/2026, 6:58:52 PM12 trades$6,97417 min
12/21/2025, 11:50:00 PM3 trades$6,1884 min
6/19/2026, 9:03:26 PM9 trades$6,1630 min
5/14/2026, 5:38:44 PM10 trades$5,9967 min
12/21/2025, 2:58:47 PM3 trades$5,9766 min
5/14/2026, 3:54:14 PM9 trades$5,9654 min
5/14/2026, 4:03:57 PM14 trades$5,4598 min
11/22/2025, 2:49:11 PM1 trades$5,2710 min
11/21/2025, 11:18:01 PM2 trades$5,0460 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-13
11-15
12-04
02-07
03-30
06-20
07-31
08-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 109 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.9 / M22.8 / H58.3