@Crostini.Manjare

#2,828,45939

0xd8e3a269f7590ad4615fecde379f87d0b72bfdaa

~75d· 1647 markets · 13814 tradesVol: $114,0812026-08-02 07:37:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (1479/1646)20/20
0.70x (win $2,219 / loss $3,167)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7130/15
Sortino -2.9690/10
$-0.0217 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 50 (1646 markets)10/10
49/75 profitable days (65%)8.8/10
Max DD 277% of peak ($1,506 / $544)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 90%
DCA Master
Avg 8.4 entries/market
Consistent
49/75 profitable days
Win Streak
67 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,795,456$-511Vol: $75,406
CRYPTO#109,491$73Vol: $38,675

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-437
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$114,081
Total Redeem
$2,044
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1647
total markets
Trades
6637B / 7177S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~75d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $221
Week
$-58
Vol: $221
Month
$-100
Vol: $1,580
All Time
$-437
Vol: $114,081

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
1476W / 167L events
Realized PnL
$-437
Win Rate
90%
1476W / 167L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $262 (0.599135762952124% of PnL)

Top Winners

Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5$114
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Los Angeles Galaxy 1st Half O/U 0.5$93
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$44
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$41
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5$41
Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 0.5$34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$29

Top Losers

AD Tarma vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 3.5$-406
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5$-397
Croatia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 2.5$-303
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Score$-175
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 0.5$-160
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5$-160
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$-119
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5$-100
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals$-100
FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc: O/U 3.5$-60

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.141
Sortino
-0.109
HHI
41
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
7.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
136.8
Very active
Markets / Day
16.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.0m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
47.1

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 118s — normal for humanCV 2.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock137 trades/day — automation16 markets/day — mass coverage48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.39
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.4%
Mid (20-55c)2.2%
High (>55c)97.4%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 10:33:56 PM131 trades$1,91911 min
7/9/2026, 9:23:50 PM108 trades$1,48810 min
6/27/2026, 10:20:34 PM135 trades$1,2888 min
7/11/2026, 9:36:34 PM73 trades$1,2215 min
7/9/2026, 8:04:37 PM60 trades$1,1714 min
7/9/2026, 9:47:43 PM72 trades$1,0246 min
6/23/2026, 1:05:53 AM88 trades$94611 min
7/10/2026, 10:47:19 PM57 trades$8824 min
7/18/2026, 5:39:25 PM31 trades$7993 min
7/6/2026, 8:52:55 PM48 trades$7512 min
6/26/2026, 2:02:31 AM59 trades$74911 min
7/4/2026, 10:33:32 PM39 trades$7420 min
5/4/2026, 9:59:24 AM232 trades$68537 min
7/7/2026, 12:31:14 AM46 trades$6663 min
7/4/2026, 10:57:26 PM27 trades$6493 min
6/26/2026, 7:20:53 PM46 trades$6112 min
6/27/2026, 9:32:23 PM44 trades$6063 min
7/18/2026, 9:02:30 PM46 trades$58316 min
7/8/2026, 6:57:59 PM2 trades$5820 min
6/23/2026, 5:13:46 PM45 trades$5765 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-06
06-03
06-15
07-01
07-14
07-31
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 45 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.4 / M2.2 / H97.4