@0xd91d5860d0f65f1601c83c05872725d389467fbf
680xd91d5860d0f65f1601c83c05872725d389467fbf
~62d· 91 markets · 532 trades2026-08-02 06:26:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
40% (17/42)5.2/20
8.71x (win $61 / loss $7)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.80015/15
Sortino 88.77610/10
$+0.0034 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 514 (42 markets)9.9/10
10/24 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 10% of peak ($5 / $54)10/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 10%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-31
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,889
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
91
total markets
Trades
256B / 276S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
40%
17W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-31
Win Rate
40%
17W / 25L
Profit Factor
8.71x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-1
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $38 (1.2065426555484284% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$23
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$1
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1
Top Losers
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-1
Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-1
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-1
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-1
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.348
Sortino
4.287
HHI
140
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.007
Kelly %
6.5%
Half-Kelly
3.3%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
19%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4672s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.1
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)39.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)60.9%
Sessions
#125/22/2026, 11:34:33 AM4 trades$3903 min
5/15/2026, 2:53:01 AM2 trades$3340 min
5/22/2026, 2:28:13 PM6 trades$2990 min
5/17/2026, 10:39:05 AM4 trades$2820 min
4/10/2026, 7:11:23 AM5 trades$2800 min
3/30/2026, 3:20:43 PM1 trades$2800 min
4/14/2026, 9:25:53 AM3 trades$2790 min
4/27/2026, 8:08:18 AM2 trades$2500 min
4/28/2026, 2:14:32 AM2 trades$2500 min
4/11/2026, 10:15:09 AM2 trades$2200 min
4/11/2026, 9:17:39 PM2 trades$2200 min
4/13/2026, 3:09:13 AM2 trades$2200 min
4/13/2026, 8:18:27 AM2 trades$2200 min
3/30/2026, 9:04:32 AM1 trades$2130 min
4/15/2026, 3:21:58 AM5 trades$2130 min
3/30/2026, 2:35:43 PM1 trades$2130 min
4/12/2026, 6:46:43 AM2 trades$2100 min
4/12/2026, 10:36:35 AM2 trades$2100 min
4/14/2026, 6:34:29 AM2 trades$2100 min
4/15/2026, 7:27:28 AM2 trades$2100 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-01
04-04
04-23
05-15
05-22
05-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 133 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L39.1 / M0 / H60.9