@JustHereWaiting

#3,068,93340

0xd923b58e7874de549b0b9bd07db49eeb2878f400

~247d· 307 markets · 5229 tradesVol: $3,291,8772026-08-02 06:24:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (224/299)20/20
0.52x (win $96,071 / loss $186,224)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4020/15
Sortino -1.4220/10
$-0.0433 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 157 (299 markets)10/10
116/152 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 404% of peak ($131,596 / $32,536)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 75%
DCA Master
Avg 16.8 entries/market
Whale
$2,082,589 invested
Consistent
116/152 profitable days
High Roller
$3,076/day
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-62,540
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,291,877
Total Redeem
$47,486
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
307
total markets
Trades
4078B / 1151S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~247d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
224W / 75L events
Realized PnL
$-62,540
Win Rate
75%
224W / 75L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$429
Avg Loss
$-2,517

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25,202 (0.40296410427130924% of PnL)

Top Winners

US forces enter Iran by March 31?$12,157
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$8,294
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4,750
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3,121
Epstein client list released in 2025?$2,820
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?$2,064
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1,877
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$1,830
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,782
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,670

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-70,903
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-52,379
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-9,342
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-7,090
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$-5,915
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?$-5,665
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-4,255
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$-3,324
Will Trump say "Green new scam" during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?$-3,205
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-3,108

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.073
Sortino
-0.037
HHI
139
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.044
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
15.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.5m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 134s — normal for humanCV 3.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.79
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5%
Mid (20-55c)9.9%
High (>55c)85.1%

Sessions

#12
2/6/2026, 10:30:15 PM5 trades$41,0212 min
4/1/2026, 5:22:35 PM7 trades$33,3170 min
12/21/2025, 3:26:59 PM13 trades$32,94919 min
2/21/2026, 1:11:20 PM38 trades$31,07035 min
2/17/2026, 3:17:45 AM1 trades$30,0750 min
7/6/2026, 1:46:04 PM2 trades$29,9320 min
3/24/2026, 2:36:01 AM1 trades$29,6100 min
2/14/2026, 10:56:55 PM2 trades$28,3470 min
2/6/2026, 2:04:01 PM22 trades$28,0517 min
12/11/2025, 2:38:57 AM5 trades$28,0362 min
1/1/2026, 7:57:25 PM4 trades$27,1183 min
2/20/2026, 1:20:50 PM32 trades$26,17624 min
4/7/2026, 2:52:27 AM17 trades$25,8259 min
2/10/2026, 11:08:51 PM13 trades$25,4004 min
1/4/2026, 4:18:13 PM10 trades$25,32019 min
7/31/2026, 7:29:29 PM14 trades$25,2936 min
1/2/2026, 12:26:49 AM2 trades$24,9250 min
4/1/2026, 11:46:03 AM36 trades$24,87543 min
12/18/2025, 1:39:54 PM3 trades$24,8516 min
3/18/2026, 11:38:43 PM16 trades$24,5609 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-24
12-18
11-28
01-12
02-23
05-02
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 90 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5 / M9.9 / H85.1