@miguel333

#131,0890

0xd955b7e81d4fefae3edc8d6ae2d918b96137bf12

~15d· 9 markets · 67 tradesVol: $36,3272026-08-02 08:56:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (2/7)0/20
0.25x (win $309 / loss $1,250)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.6370/15
Sortino -8.3650/10
$-0.4081 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3182 (7 markets)0/10
2/7 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 405% of peak ($1,250 / $309)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+377

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#56,705$126Vol: $28,084
SPORTS#81,790$233Vol: $8,025
💰 FINANCE#43,175$17Vol: $217

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$377
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,327
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9
total markets
Trades
28B / 39S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
2W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$377
Win Rate
29%
2W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$155
Avg Loss
$-250

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $309 (0.8209584969748435% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?$292
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?$17

Top Losers

Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-669
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-449
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$-100
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$-32
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.418
Sortino
-0.456
HHI
1323
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.547
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.1%
Top-5 markets
68.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
23
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 598s — normal for humanCV 1.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.9%
Mid (20-55c)14.3%
High (>55c)67.9%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 8:05:09 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/28/2026, 8:39:13 AM25 trades$1,8105 min
6/7/2026, 2:40:46 PM6 trades$1,0440 min
6/9/2026, 7:27:00 AM3 trades$7900 min
10/9/2025, 10:37:38 AM1 trades$4480 min
10/19/2025, 4:22:37 PM2 trades$2331 min
6/13/2026, 9:14:21 PM4 trades$2200 min
10/12/2025, 10:24:04 AM2 trades$2002 min
6/16/2026, 1:13:41 PM3 trades$1760 min
10/23/2025, 12:09:15 PM1 trades$1010 min
10/1/2025, 10:53:45 AM1 trades$1000 min
6/22/2026, 3:28:22 AM1 trades$1000 min
6/23/2026, 10:23:50 PM1 trades$860 min
10/6/2025, 5:04:37 AM2 trades$732 min
10/1/2025, 11:41:05 AM2 trades$562 min
6/30/2026, 2:39:37 AM4 trades$353 min
6/21/2026, 1:01:14 PM1 trades$210 min
6/21/2026, 7:46:50 PM1 trades$90 min
6/22/2026, 12:13:13 AM1 trades$90 min
6/30/2026, 2:52:14 AM1 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-06
10-09
10-12
10-19
10-23
06-09
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 261 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.9 / M14.3 / H67.9