@0xd956f2e95f41b41d70cea314afdb2bea653adada

#2,876,3928

0xd956f2e95f41b41d70cea314afdb2bea653adada

~25d· 129 markets · 396 tradesVol: $123,3422026-08-02 01:29:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (26/129)0/20
0.62x (win $2,641 / loss $4,237)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6470/15
Sortino -3.6910/10
$-0.2976 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1261 (129 markets)6.2/10
9/25 profitable days (36%)1.5/10
Max DD 627% of peak ($2,102 / $335)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,785,539$-409Vol: $38,676
📈 ECONOMICS#641,433$-38Vol: $19,360
CRYPTO#1,428,353$-72Vol: $2,313
🏛️ POLITICS#1,471,798$-54Vol: $348

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-639
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$123,342
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
129
total markets
Trades
159B / 237S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Week
$-10
Vol: $0
Month
$-10
Vol: $9,800
All Time
$-639
Vol: $123,342

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
26W / 103L events
Realized PnL
$-639
Win Rate
20%
26W / 103L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$102
Avg Loss
$-48

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $912 (1.4254394195283666% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$379
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$276
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$256
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$182
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$164
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$153
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?$109
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$108
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$106
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$104

Top Losers

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$-1,588
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-204
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-159
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$-155
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-151
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$-120
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?$-107
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-97
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$-94
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$-82

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.187
Sortino
-0.153
HHI
1801
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.298
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
41.5%
Top-5 markets
53.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 460s — normal for humanCV 3.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.07
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.4%
Mid (20-55c)38.4%
High (>55c)13.2%

Sessions

#12
8/1/2026, 5:50:03 PM2 trades$9,8000 min
6/13/2026, 6:10:28 PM2 trades$9,6800 min
5/9/2026, 7:59:25 PM4 trades$9,4600 min
6/4/2026, 5:39:39 PM2 trades$4,7100 min
6/27/2026, 6:53:13 PM19 trades$3,2415 min
7/4/2026, 10:22:35 PM14 trades$3,1800 min
6/15/2026, 9:01:46 PM9 trades$1,0316 min
6/15/2026, 4:23:06 PM10 trades$8887 min
6/14/2026, 7:25:27 AM5 trades$6671 min
6/15/2026, 1:46:19 PM10 trades$5422 min
6/25/2026, 9:53:31 PM6 trades$4790 min
6/23/2026, 5:56:52 PM12 trades$3927 min
6/5/2026, 5:47:39 PM5 trades$3774 min
6/13/2026, 9:54:19 PM2 trades$3140 min
6/25/2026, 10:18:46 AM8 trades$3117 min
6/25/2026, 2:44:17 AM5 trades$3040 min
6/16/2026, 5:11:55 AM10 trades$2765 min
7/5/2026, 8:29:29 PM2 trades$2370 min
6/25/2026, 10:27:43 PM2 trades$2320 min
6/14/2026, 7:34:58 AM11 trades$2202 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-09
06-14
06-18
06-23
06-27
07-04
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.07/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48.4 / M38.4 / H13.2