@0xd9f9a8acbac0d8f9f55686da588c5830bfd60f4d
400xd9f9a8acbac0d8f9f55686da588c5830bfd60f4d
~34d· 120 markets · 511 trades2026-08-02 05:20:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
86% (89/104)20/20
0.73x (win $2,373 / loss $3,255)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7060/15
Sortino -1.8850/10
$-0.0231 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 514 (104 markets)9.9/10
17/24 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 200% of peak ($1,765 / $883)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+969
Consistent
17/24 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
Overview
#1Net PnL
$969
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$38,163
Total Redeem
$2,064
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
120
total markets
Trades
394B / 117S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
86%
89W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$969
Win Rate
86%
89W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-250
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,151 (1.187622506035034% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$527
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$348
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$276
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$162
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$162
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$135
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$131
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$82
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$78
Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?$76
Top Losers
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-2,455
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$-366
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-282
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$-44
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?$-18
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95ºC and 0.99ºC in August 2025?$-17
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?$-11
Israel strikes Iran by November 30?$-7
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?$-3
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.087
Sortino
-0.058
HHI
334
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.027
Kelly %
22.6%
Half-Kelly
11.3%
Top-1 market
10.6%
Top-5 markets
29.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
15.3m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.8
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 38s — normal for humanCV 2.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.3
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.8%
Mid (20-55c)40.6%
High (>55c)55.6%
Sessions
#125/15/2026, 12:58:45 PM26 trades$8,38622 min
2/8/2026, 12:51:25 PM100 trades$4,2019 min
7/11/2026, 12:22:26 PM14 trades$3,6457 min
7/11/2026, 12:10:52 PM15 trades$3,3745 min
4/21/2026, 1:21:36 PM11 trades$2,3572 min
1/28/2026, 3:04:35 PM22 trades$2,32612 min
10/16/2025, 9:22:07 AM7 trades$1,94611 min
2/8/2026, 1:52:17 PM2 trades$1,9091 min
2/8/2026, 12:18:35 PM10 trades$1,9059 min
1/3/2026, 3:32:45 PM16 trades$1,89813 min
11/2/2025, 10:09:59 AM3 trades$1,8724 min
11/17/2025, 12:01:49 PM2 trades$1,8281 min
11/1/2025, 7:45:03 PM4 trades$1,7996 min
8/17/2025, 11:23:40 PM1 trades$1,5570 min
8/15/2025, 5:47:18 AM1 trades$1,5250 min
6/8/2026, 2:22:22 PM5 trades$1,4973 min
8/7/2025, 11:39:19 PM7 trades$1,3267 min
1/28/2026, 3:21:41 PM1 trades$1,2850 min
3/7/2026, 1:26:27 PM4 trades$1,1883 min
2/8/2026, 1:37:19 PM5 trades$1,1444 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-07
08-17
09-12
11-01
01-03
03-07
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 57 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.8 / M40.6 / H55.6