@APPredictions
#3,058,841230xda48389711aeb8960d1be9d864cef734b3355926
~23d· 108 markets · 2821 tradesVol: $204,2912026-08-02 07:04:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
44% (47/108)6.8/20
0.77x (win $42,746 / loss $55,852)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1450/15
Sortino -2.3570/10
$-0.1351 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 347 (108 markets)10/10
11/20 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 207% of peak ($31,793 / $15,337)0/10
Badges
3Contrarian
65% entries < $0.55
Whale
$97,033 invested
High Roller
$1,702/day
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,877,451$-12,941Vol: $204,291
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-12,941
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$204,291
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
108
total markets
Trades
1896B / 925S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d
Periods
#2Today
$-4
Vol: $0
Week
$-60
Vol: $0
Month
$-30
Vol: $288
All Time
$-12,941
Vol: $204,291
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
44%
47W / 61L events
Realized PnL
$-12,941
Win Rate
44%
47W / 61L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$910
Avg Loss
$-947
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,639 (1.285816069233105% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$6,930
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$6,372
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$3,337
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics$3,300
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$2,870
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)$2,684
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles$2,450
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)$2,430
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers$2,263
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)$1,593
Top Losers
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5$-9,600
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5$-8,314
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5$-7,423
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5$-4,607
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5$-4,007
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants$-3,168
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5$-2,964
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5$-2,360
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5$-1,980
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5$-1,621
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.110
Sortino
-0.091
HHI
322
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.135
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.8%
Top-5 markets
26.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
49.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
29s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.4m
between trades
Night Trading
52%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
42.1
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 29s — normal for humanCV 5.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)52% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule49 trades/day — high frequency1.9 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
26.12
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)9.2%
Mid (20-55c)56%
High (>55c)34.9%
Sessions
#126/11/2026, 11:07:37 PM6 trades$15,1101 min
6/11/2026, 8:58:58 PM25 trades$12,6049 min
6/14/2026, 7:10:51 PM3 trades$8,0000 min
6/13/2026, 9:28:54 PM9 trades$7,5506 min
6/15/2026, 3:11:15 AM18 trades$6,9741 min
6/21/2026, 1:11:47 AM395 trades$4,735134 min
6/10/2026, 9:41:48 PM6 trades$4,6975 min
6/27/2026, 9:10:53 PM2 trades$3,9730 min
6/11/2026, 5:42:01 PM2 trades$3,9230 min
6/12/2026, 9:16:36 PM2 trades$3,6800 min
6/12/2026, 3:40:12 PM2 trades$3,5000 min
6/12/2026, 11:16:36 PM13 trades$3,4930 min
6/13/2026, 3:03:07 AM69 trades$3,3001 min
6/14/2026, 9:26:45 PM29 trades$3,2318 min
6/11/2026, 7:26:51 PM3 trades$3,1210 min
6/10/2026, 4:54:55 PM1 trades$2,9640 min
6/14/2026, 5:44:25 PM6 trades$2,8572 min
6/9/2026, 2:30:22 AM7 trades$2,5000 min
6/12/2026, 2:26:36 AM2 trades$2,5000 min
6/12/2026, 3:02:01 AM1 trades$2,3600 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-06
06-11
06-14
06-17
06-21
06-25
06-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.12/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L9.2 / M56 / H34.9