@RiskOfRuin2

#2,899,1870

0xda63be80f2dbf1d737e18a6f0fb5a23038e6a0b1

~9d· 16 markets · 144 tradesVol: $54,9732026-08-02 07:02:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (3/16)0/20
0.49x (win $737 / loss $1,506)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1040/15
Sortino -4.5810/10
$-0.1279 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2635 (16 markets)0/10
2/8 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 238% of peak ($1,324 / $555)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#650,782$-661Vol: $48,850
📈 ECONOMICS#12,867$95Vol: $4,548
SPORTS#1,738,646$-200Vol: $1,424
🏛️ POLITICS#1,421,469$-31Vol: $149
🎭 CULTURE#333,268$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-798
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$54,973
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
16
total markets
Trades
32B / 112S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-286
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-798
Vol: $54,973

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
3W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-771
Win Rate
19%
3W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.49x
Avg Win
$246
Avg Loss
$-167

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $737 (0.9560919927879316% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$596
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$125
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$16

Top Losers

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$-395
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$-377
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$-332
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$-221
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$-71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?$-48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?$-5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.201
Sortino
-0.196
HHI
4069
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.128
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
62.1%
Top-5 markets
85.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
18
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 174s — normal for humanCV 1.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern9/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.6%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)46.9%

Sessions

#12
7/21/2026, 7:49:19 PM12 trades$10,4050 min
7/23/2026, 9:30:06 AM28 trades$8,7113 min
6/21/2026, 8:30:08 PM42 trades$4,7754 min
7/4/2026, 9:15:11 PM2 trades$3,6330 min
6/21/2026, 7:56:49 PM4 trades$2,1931 min
6/22/2026, 11:41:52 AM4 trades$1,3291 min
7/21/2026, 12:57:25 PM9 trades$1,1780 min
7/22/2026, 9:46:04 AM10 trades$1,1192 min
6/14/2026, 1:19:31 PM2 trades$7000 min
7/21/2026, 1:03:01 PM4 trades$5510 min
7/21/2026, 7:20:34 PM7 trades$2430 min
7/11/2026, 8:04:02 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/15/2026, 7:37:43 AM4 trades$730 min
6/15/2026, 7:44:28 AM2 trades$420 min
6/15/2026, 7:29:28 AM4 trades$251 min
6/14/2026, 5:35:55 PM2 trades$130 min
6/14/2026, 12:48:04 PM4 trades$120 min
6/14/2026, 1:13:16 PM2 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
06-21
06-22
07-04
07-11
07-21
07-22
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.6 / M12.5 / H46.9