@0xdae89413f3f20fa5a63ba229d984e25a08988c95

12

0xdae89413f3f20fa5a63ba229d984e25a08988c95

~129d· 151 markets · 807 trades2026-08-02 04:12:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (40/120)1.7/20
0.69x (win $6,342 / loss $9,152)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0110/15
Sortino -1.1210/10
$-0.0850 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 705 (120 markets)9/10
23/66 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 193% of peak ($5,829 / $3,018)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
💰 FINANCE#650,316$-612Vol: $8,001
📈 ECONOMICS#640,778$-37Vol: $7,976
💻 TECH#22,139$6Vol: $2,876

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,057
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,086
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
151
total markets
Trades
387B / 420S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~129d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$24
Vol: $0
Month
$20
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,057
Vol: $0

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
40W / 80L events
Realized PnL
$-2,057
Win Rate
33%
40W / 80L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$159
Avg Loss
$-114

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,872 (2.3690881951096174% of PnL)

Top Winners

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$1,874
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$1,557
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$1,442
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$190
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$147
Will William Pacho score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$92
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$84
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?$72
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$70
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$67

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-5,827
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-631
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$-255
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$-247
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-238
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-235
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-188
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-157
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-128
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?$-102

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.052
Sortino
-0.048
HHI
511
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.118
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.1%
Top-5 markets
42.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
28.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1734s — normal for humanCV 1.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.6%
Mid (20-55c)22.2%
High (>55c)58.1%

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 11:05:36 AM2 trades$2,5000 min
7/13/2026, 5:42:26 PM4 trades$2,0753 min
6/12/2026, 11:34:28 AM4 trades$1,3795 min
7/20/2026, 6:19:58 PM6 trades$1,2503 min
7/7/2026, 10:47:46 PM2 trades$1,0570 min
7/25/2026, 5:17:19 PM2 trades$1,0550 min
7/15/2026, 7:22:53 PM2 trades$1,0450 min
6/24/2026, 10:24:41 PM16 trades$9330 min
6/26/2026, 2:14:01 PM14 trades$8920 min
7/14/2026, 10:53:49 PM4 trades$8172 min
6/23/2026, 8:05:50 PM19 trades$7860 min
6/24/2026, 9:30:16 PM12 trades$7512 min
7/14/2026, 11:00:40 PM8 trades$6475 min
4/23/2026, 10:16:52 PM4 trades$6441 min
1/28/2026, 2:03:57 PM2 trades$5962 min
7/8/2026, 12:41:44 AM1 trades$5810 min
1/28/2026, 2:34:59 PM2 trades$5662 min
7/10/2026, 5:58:38 PM7 trades$5643 min
1/22/2026, 3:14:16 PM2 trades$5600 min
7/20/2026, 3:54:25 PM5 trades$5590 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-16
01-05
02-01
02-22
04-10
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.6 / M22.2 / H58.1