@KurtO411

#3,006,45138

0xdb03f9374c595aed9c57765c9d06f2e171679732

~94d· 426 markets · 1118 tradesVol: $136,1142026-08-02 04:12:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (217/426)10.5/20
1.02x (win $30,226 / loss $29,726)2.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2404.5/15
Sortino 0.3143.1/10
$+0.0113 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 37 (426 markets)10/10
52/94 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 484% of peak ($3,603 / $744)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,857,799$-2,393Vol: $135,582
🏛️ POLITICS#83,340$59Vol: $412
🎭 CULTURE#768,891$-65Vol: $120

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,399
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$136,114
Total Redeem
$3,782
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
426
total markets
Trades
468B / 650S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~94d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
217W / 209L events
Realized PnL
$-2,399
Win Rate
51%
217W / 209L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$139
Avg Loss
$-157

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,305 (0.5440567021054826% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$480
Sidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner$441
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$384
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$363
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?$331
Will AC Milan vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?$289
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?$288
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?$283
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?$276
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-11?$276

Top Losers

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$-500
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?$-500
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?$-400
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?$-370
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?$-300
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?$-300
Will DR Congo win on 2026-03-31?$-300
Will England win on 2026-03-31?$-300
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$-280
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?$-270

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.013
Sortino
0.014
HHI
31
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
4.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
30.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.47
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1822s — normal for humanCV 0.47 — uniform order sizes7% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity9 trades/day — normal3.4 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.62
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.6%
Mid (20-55c)53.8%
High (>55c)45.5%

Sessions

#12
3/31/2026, 6:31:21 PM18 trades$1,5129 min
4/11/2026, 6:39:51 PM30 trades$1,4630 min
5/3/2026, 6:42:08 PM12 trades$1,3334 min
4/25/2026, 4:12:14 PM9 trades$1,2785 min
5/17/2026, 1:50:32 PM12 trades$1,1973 min
4/4/2026, 4:18:49 PM8 trades$1,1180 min
4/18/2026, 5:26:08 PM2 trades$1,0910 min
3/21/2026, 7:34:29 PM7 trades$1,0255 min
5/23/2026, 6:49:55 PM19 trades$9798 min
4/30/2026, 6:51:24 PM8 trades$9036 min
5/17/2026, 4:49:44 PM12 trades$8968 min
4/11/2026, 3:54:53 PM6 trades$8794 min
5/24/2026, 2:40:56 PM21 trades$87211 min
3/22/2026, 7:40:55 PM6 trades$8447 min
5/17/2026, 9:55:27 AM10 trades$8322 min
4/11/2026, 8:42:45 PM4 trades$8130 min
4/4/2026, 9:08:59 PM4 trades$7640 min
4/28/2026, 6:50:44 PM8 trades$7591 min
4/25/2026, 1:55:10 PM8 trades$7495 min
4/12/2026, 12:52:17 PM15 trades$7136 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-15
04-03
04-19
05-06
05-22
06-20
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 46 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.6 / M53.8 / H45.5