@0xdb9a901be778bb636a590a808c238a30d5796e8b

74

0xdb9a901be778bb636a590a808c238a30d5796e8b

~28d· 33 markets · 307 trades2026-08-02 07:43:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (10/24)5.8/20
3.06x (win $8,148 / loss $2,664)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.12115/15
Sortino 15.32710/10
$+0.1578 per $1 invested7.9/10
HHI 956 (24 markets)7.7/10
9/17 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($1,959 / $5,485)6.9/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+3,545

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,545
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,750
Total Redeem
$3,151
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
101B / 206S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
10W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$3,545
Win Rate
42%
10W / 14L
Profit Factor
3.06x
Avg Win
$815
Avg Loss
$-266

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,672 (1.6002161009298546% of PnL)

Top Winners

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$3,629
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$1,179
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$865
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$801
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$400
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$399
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$368
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$226
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$200
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$82

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,107
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$-404
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-274
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$-207
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?$-200
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?$-200
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$-105
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$-105
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-45
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$-16

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.311
Sortino
0.576
HHI
650
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.204
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.3%
Top-5 markets
48.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 476s — normal for humanCV 1.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.83
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.9%
Mid (20-55c)18.8%
High (>55c)73.3%

Sessions

#12
7/23/2026, 8:07:22 AM31 trades$3,7981 min
4/15/2026, 5:16:34 AM2 trades$3,7490 min
6/20/2026, 10:06:25 PM2 trades$3,4000 min
7/28/2026, 4:19:41 PM7 trades$3,1350 min
7/9/2026, 10:05:46 AM17 trades$2,8610 min
7/14/2026, 2:33:28 PM4 trades$2,5990 min
7/28/2026, 4:03:02 PM15 trades$2,5162 min
7/23/2026, 5:19:01 AM4 trades$2,3490 min
6/16/2026, 6:40:22 PM11 trades$2,2120 min
6/20/2026, 3:32:13 AM6 trades$2,2120 min
4/13/2026, 1:05:33 PM7 trades$1,9770 min
3/9/2026, 5:54:21 PM1 trades$1,8440 min
5/29/2026, 9:38:31 AM11 trades$1,7844 min
5/23/2026, 5:38:15 PM10 trades$1,7430 min
5/3/2026, 3:20:16 AM6 trades$1,7390 min
7/28/2026, 5:10:31 AM5 trades$1,6380 min
4/21/2026, 6:48:04 AM8 trades$1,3772 min
6/20/2026, 8:59:50 AM2 trades$1,2500 min
4/22/2026, 4:37:20 PM8 trades$1,1940 min
5/30/2026, 1:59:45 PM10 trades$1,1490 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-09
04-21
04-26
05-23
05-29
06-20
07-09
07-12
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 76 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.9 / M18.8 / H73.3