@xiaoyuan
#491,417700xdbec0751dc916530b8139dc3b8b0b33fbc7e0112
~27d· 77 markets · 356 tradesVol: $25,1912026-08-03 00:27:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
49% (37/75)9.7/20
40.61x (win $10 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 17.96215/15
Sortino 193.60910/10
$+0.0018 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 8818 (75 markets)0/10
19/26 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 3% of peak ($0 / $10)10/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+10
Contrarian
76% entries < $0.55
Consistent
19/26 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 3%
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#172,280$10Vol: $24,749
⚽ SPORTS#495,031$0Vol: $430
🎭 CULTURE#286,376$0Vol: $6
📈 ECONOMICS#165,079$0Vol: $6
Overview
#1Net PnL
$10
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,191
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
77
total markets
Trades
294B / 62S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d
Periods
#2Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$4
Vol: $0
All Time
$10
Vol: $25,191
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
49%
37W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$10
Win Rate
49%
37W / 38L
Profit Factor
40.62x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3 (0.3128654970760234% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$1
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?$1
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 22?$1
Israel strikes Iran before September?$1
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$1
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?$1
US military action against Iran by Thursday?$0
Will Israel strike Syria on July 19?$0
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$0
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$0
Top Losers
Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?$-0
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$-0
Will Bologna win the UEFA Champions League? $-0
Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?$-0
Will RB Leipzig win the UEFA Champions League?$-0
Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?$-0
Will another team win La Liga?$-0
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?$-0
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?$-0
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.922
Sortino
4.544
HHI
8516
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
0.5%
Half-Kelly
0.3%
Top-1 market
92.3%
Top-5 markets
93%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
34
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.5
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
52% gaps < 5s — fast executionCV 3.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.69
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.4%
Mid (20-55c)73.8%
High (>55c)23.8%
Sessions
#1211/1/2024, 10:30:42 AM115 trades$3,5698 min
11/1/2024, 11:09:10 AM38 trades$2,3793 min
11/1/2024, 10:53:08 AM67 trades$2,3766 min
11/1/2024, 10:47:42 AM5 trades$1,1870 min
12/2/2024, 4:16:37 PM48 trades$23033 min
1/5/2025, 1:45:27 AM8 trades$405 min
11/29/2024, 2:58:43 PM6 trades$385 min
4/13/2025, 5:26:11 PM4 trades$244 min
4/14/2025, 12:57:49 AM4 trades$244 min
5/30/2026, 5:25:06 AM4 trades$231 min
7/31/2026, 2:48:35 AM6 trades$202 min
5/20/2025, 1:36:11 AM3 trades$183 min
2/2/2026, 10:47:12 AM3 trades$170 min
11/20/2025, 4:49:23 PM2 trades$161 min
6/5/2026, 4:50:49 PM4 trades$161 min
10/22/2025, 5:32:43 PM2 trades$151 min
3/22/2026, 10:20:07 AM3 trades$152 min
1/11/2026, 2:30:42 AM3 trades$152 min
8/11/2025, 2:50:00 PM2 trades$141 min
3/11/2025, 6:14:39 AM2 trades$122 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-01
01-05
04-14
08-11
12-13
04-30
07-08
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 70 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.69/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L2.4 / M73.8 / H23.8