@third-eye
#1,224800xdc4f08727c65afc4731b75cf1ed265666b7b4652
~157d· 487 markets · 12202 tradesVol: $24,598,9892026-08-02 03:34:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
76% (308/406)20/20
1.74x (win $417,858 / loss $239,479)11.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.59515/15
Sortino 4.52910/10
$+0.0180 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 491 (406 markets)10/10
77/106 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 58% of peak ($103,238 / $178,378)2.4/10
Badges
9Sniper
Win rate 76%
Profitable
PnL $+163,292
DCA Master
Avg 25.4 entries/market
Whale
$9,898,451 invested
Consistent
77/106 profitable days
High Roller
$51,287/day
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,633,292$-4,336Vol: $10,975,157
📈 ECONOMICS#44$135,064Vol: $8,056,561
💰 FINANCE#654,736$-1,766Vol: $2,234,034
₿ CRYPTO#10,049$4,778Vol: $1,785,448
⚽ SPORTS#1,805$34,921Vol: $1,472,345
🌤️ WEATHER#7,364$92Vol: $33,156
🎭 CULTURE#13,739$204Vol: $12,454
💻 TECH#7,809$60Vol: $1,000
Overview
#1Net PnL
$163,970
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,598,989
Total Redeem
$64,787
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
487
total markets
Trades
8586B / 3616S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~157d
Periods
#2Today
$467
Vol: $0
Week
$3,663
Vol: $0
Month
$840
Vol: $0
All Time
$163,970
Vol: $24,598,989
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
76%
308W / 98L events
Realized PnL
$163,292
Win Rate
76%
308W / 98L
Profit Factor
1.74x
Avg Win
$1,357
Avg Loss
$-2,885
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $151,261 (0.9263211876266599% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$57,508
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$47,088
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$46,664
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T$30,086
Knicks vs. Spurs$17,778
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$17,241
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$13,109
Knicks vs. Spurs$11,490
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$8,834
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$8,464
Top Losers
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$-53,021
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$-42,496
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-13,367
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-12,575
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-11,134
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev$-10,472
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?$-7,041
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$-5,068
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,986
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-4,863
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.135
Sortino
0.138
HHI
543
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12%
Top-5 markets
43.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
63.2
Very active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.9m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
18 min
Avg Trades / Session
32.6
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 6.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock63 trades/day — mass trading2.5 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
25.41
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10.1%
Mid (20-55c)6%
High (>55c)83.9%
Sessions
#121/30/2026, 8:13:04 PM3 trades$698,2841 min
1/26/2026, 6:02:57 PM48 trades$604,91638 min
6/2/2026, 3:47:18 PM2 trades$500,0000 min
6/17/2026, 8:51:14 PM38 trades$494,31810 min
2/3/2026, 9:43:26 PM86 trades$427,64873 min
1/27/2026, 8:36:39 PM49 trades$401,30350 min
1/30/2026, 2:07:48 AM56 trades$293,13943 min
2/2/2026, 5:19:26 PM49 trades$272,30054 min
3/14/2026, 8:18:17 AM5 trades$267,52010 min
1/28/2026, 2:30:15 AM45 trades$241,79143 min
6/10/2026, 12:54:25 PM11 trades$221,8380 min
1/23/2026, 2:37:30 AM4 trades$221,3136 min
2/9/2026, 10:29:05 PM70 trades$212,80837 min
2/12/2026, 4:13:31 AM232 trades$204,83931 min
4/8/2026, 8:29:43 PM1 trades$188,6350 min
6/16/2026, 12:47:30 AM4 trades$186,1680 min
1/25/2026, 2:09:26 AM71 trades$174,06539 min
1/25/2026, 4:44:30 AM3 trades$167,5123 min
2/10/2026, 3:56:47 PM167 trades$162,67165 min
3/10/2026, 4:43:09 PM1 trades$146,1400 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-20
02-09
04-22
05-27
06-15
07-03
07-23
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 34 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.1 / M6 / H83.9