@Ormerod

#273,43911

0xdc6c82795340bfb912ba9c81fb9f5b0748fd4f36

~6d· 9 markets · 46 tradesVol: $14,0552026-08-02 07:02:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (2/4)10/20
0.19x (win $84 / loss $439)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.0886 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3120 (4 markets)0/10
1/3 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 524% of peak ($439 / $84)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+73

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#87,789$53Vol: $13,806
SPORTS#229,461$20Vol: $249

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$73
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,055
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9
total markets
Trades
28B / 18S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~6d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
2W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$73
Win Rate
50%
2W / 2L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-219

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $84 (1.1464549685190255% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$44
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$40

Top Losers

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?$-299
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$-140

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.615
Sortino
-1.050
HHI
187
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.368
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.2%
Top-5 markets
24.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
16
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 222s — normal for humanCV 1.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.25
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)71.4%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 6:50:26 AM12 trades$9801 min
6/22/2026, 7:06:34 AM4 trades$9500 min
6/22/2026, 9:00:13 AM5 trades$9310 min
6/19/2026, 7:30:50 AM3 trades$9300 min
7/16/2026, 8:54:50 AM2 trades$5000 min
7/3/2026, 3:00:53 AM2 trades$4940 min
6/12/2026, 4:21:55 AM3 trades$4744 min
7/17/2026, 2:08:54 AM2 trades$4600 min
7/16/2026, 11:10:59 AM1 trades$4550 min
7/3/2026, 4:51:25 AM1 trades$4460 min
7/17/2026, 2:43:12 AM1 trades$4450 min
6/12/2026, 2:56:58 AM2 trades$2400 min
6/22/2026, 7:51:07 AM2 trades$1030 min
6/19/2026, 4:38:55 AM2 trades$680 min
6/22/2026, 5:54:19 AM2 trades$630 min
6/19/2026, 7:01:17 AM2 trades$620 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-19
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.6 / M0 / H71.4