Saltanas

@Saltanas

#2,942,05790

0xdc707e8c5299f998f026b98c558a9cca6a7e7db5

~31d· 62 markets · 773 tradesVol: $166,1132026-08-02 06:25:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (48/61)20/20
2.33x (win $7,180 / loss $3,084)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.38915/15
Sortino 13.52510/10
$+0.0358 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 366 (61 markets)10/10
14/20 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 27% of peak ($1,116 / $4,096)8.5/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 79%
DCA Master
Avg 12.0 entries/market
Whale
$114,343 invested
Consistent
14/20 profitable days
High Roller
$3,009/day
Cool Head
Max DD 27%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#34,364$325Vol: $89,570
SPORTS#59,705$449Vol: $44,787
CRYPTO#1,520,829$-174Vol: $10,362
🎭 CULTURE#42,410$27Vol: $6,347
🌤️ WEATHER#23,627$9Vol: $3,849
💰 FINANCE#654,846$-1,820Vol: $2,000
📈 ECONOMICS#598,785$-10Vol: $500

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,169
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$166,113
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
62
total markets
Trades
209B / 564S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
48W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-1,169
Win Rate
79%
48W / 13L
Profit Factor
2.33x
Avg Win
$150
Avg Loss
$-280

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,594 (2.219275809859456% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?$934
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$885
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$775
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$605
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$560
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$503
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$394
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?$381
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$300
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$271

Top Losers

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-828
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-730
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-561
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-352
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$-189
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?$-160
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$-124
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-90
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-21

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.326
Sortino
0.475
HHI
339
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.037
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
29.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 116s — normal for humanCV 1.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule20 trades/day — high frequency1.6 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.98
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)3.3%
High (>55c)95.7%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 9:37:53 AM44 trades$11,8750 min
6/24/2026, 8:06:47 PM48 trades$11,6716 min
6/17/2026, 9:57:14 AM15 trades$7,1643 min
6/30/2026, 1:24:32 PM6 trades$6,4401 min
6/22/2026, 5:43:43 PM8 trades$6,0242 min
5/31/2026, 8:52:26 PM27 trades$5,1394 min
6/22/2026, 2:41:41 PM4 trades$5,0002 min
6/23/2026, 11:09:16 AM7 trades$4,8532 min
6/5/2026, 2:22:43 PM13 trades$4,1382 min
6/19/2026, 12:05:50 PM7 trades$4,0000 min
6/28/2026, 3:50:40 PM3 trades$3,9590 min
5/29/2026, 7:07:42 PM23 trades$3,9072 min
6/28/2026, 3:37:07 PM2 trades$3,8750 min
6/8/2026, 12:40:37 PM19 trades$3,8121 min
6/16/2026, 9:27:31 PM9 trades$3,6295 min
6/22/2026, 2:21:10 PM11 trades$3,4080 min
6/29/2026, 10:17:07 AM7 trades$3,3101 min
5/26/2026, 7:17:35 PM28 trades$3,2872 min
6/15/2026, 4:57:46 PM18 trades$3,2550 min
6/27/2026, 4:19:28 PM7 trades$3,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-25
05-30
06-05
06-09
06-18
06-23
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.98/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1 / M3.3 / H95.7