Odin.Valhal

@Odin.Valhal

#36,38941

0xdd0d6182097a0cdaf919ae762d10ed6fdd7417b6

~39d· 81 markets · 630 tradesVol: $123,0912026-08-02 07:40:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

87% (52/60)20/20
0.89x (win $4,182 / loss $4,676)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5890/15
Sortino -0.6170/10
$-0.0051 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 251 (60 markets)10/10
19/24 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 860% of peak ($3,089 / $359)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 87%
Profitable
PnL $+3,154
DCA Master
Avg 7.2 entries/market
Whale
$96,793 invested
Consistent
19/24 profitable days
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#10,558$2,336Vol: $104,576
📈 ECONOMICS#6,784$279Vol: $8,570
SPORTS#95,616$166Vol: $7,800
CRYPTO#49,001$373Vol: $2,085
🎭 CULTURE#231,989$0Vol: $60

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,154
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$123,091
Total Redeem
$11,901
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
81
total markets
Trades
449B / 181S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

Periods

#2
Today
$257
Vol: $0
Week
$375
Vol: $0
Month
$280
Vol: $0
All Time
$3,154
Vol: $123,091

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
87%
52W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$3,154
Win Rate
87%
52W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$80
Avg Loss
$-668

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,164 (0.36920457355934777% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$452
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$388
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$325
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$250
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?$187
Epstein client list released by June 30?$179
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$176
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$174
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$153
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$144

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-1,919
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$-780
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-709
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-511
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-378
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-345
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-34

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.030
Sortino
-0.016
HHI
154
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
15.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 138s — normal for humanCV 1.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.22
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0.7%
High (>55c)99.3%

Sessions

#12
7/4/2026, 12:44:02 PM6 trades$6,5002 min
6/4/2026, 2:13:46 PM18 trades$6,1126 min
5/4/2026, 4:23:36 PM25 trades$4,81710 min
2/26/2026, 2:24:06 PM6 trades$4,44110 min
3/19/2026, 7:50:21 AM4 trades$3,2576 min
5/8/2026, 6:29:06 PM9 trades$3,2442 min
7/4/2026, 1:03:19 PM15 trades$3,19812 min
2/22/2026, 9:49:56 AM19 trades$3,16518 min
7/30/2026, 12:14:38 PM12 trades$2,9094 min
2/22/2026, 10:55:42 AM7 trades$2,58212 min
2/22/2026, 10:30:36 AM14 trades$2,28615 min
3/20/2026, 9:26:05 AM6 trades$2,1576 min
4/2/2026, 10:07:05 AM13 trades$2,1207 min
4/6/2026, 7:22:49 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/5/2026, 5:48:15 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
3/23/2026, 2:52:09 PM4 trades$1,9743 min
7/8/2026, 11:49:50 AM11 trades$1,9005 min
5/4/2026, 4:38:20 PM21 trades$1,8554 min
3/17/2026, 10:31:47 AM4 trades$1,8413 min
7/11/2026, 6:50:34 AM2 trades$1,8000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
02-28
03-17
04-06
06-01
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.22/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0.7 / H99.3