@473game

#3,070,50213

0xde0a3c61ef2c9d98794e388274857d45f904f102

~81d· 646 markets · 15251 tradesVol: $17,832,3222026-08-02 05:29:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (196/645)0.2/20
0.63x (win $594,313 / loss $947,771)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5950/15
Sortino -5.0500/10
$-0.2106 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 71 (645 markets)10/10
32/79 profitable days (41%)2.6/10
Max DD 626% of peak ($489,846 / $78,280)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20
Whale
$1,678,624 invested
High Roller
$18,651/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,882,169$-174,176Vol: $17,209,062
🏛️ POLITICS#6,862$4,466Vol: $33,499
CRYPTO#1,512,250$-156Vol: $23,479

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-169,955
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,832,322
Total Redeem
$80,383
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
646
total markets
Trades
9901B / 5350S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~81d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
196W / 449L events
Realized PnL
$-169,955
Win Rate
30%
196W / 449L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$3,032
Avg Loss
$-2,174

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $183,616 (1.0803819535665653% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?$82,242
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?$52,200
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?$49,174
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$24,763
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$23,938
Timberwolves vs. Spurs$23,543
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-10?$18,600
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?$13,233
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$13,189
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?$12,284

Top Losers

Spurs vs. Knicks$-52,614
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 Australia?$-48,310
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?$-36,685
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco?$-35,946
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?$-32,903
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?$-29,971
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?$-28,196
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-22,271
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Colombia?$-21,290
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain?$-15,875

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.239
Sortino
-0.249
HHI
85
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.211
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
11.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
169.5
Very active
Markets / Day
7.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.2m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
52.5

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — normal for humanCV 4.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock169 trades/day — automation7.2 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.64
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)64.7%
Mid (20-55c)5.9%
High (>55c)29.4%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 12:02:41 AM22 trades$102,00010 min
6/18/2026, 1:34:13 AM105 trades$83,99523 min
7/4/2026, 1:41:46 PM26 trades$78,3926 min
7/4/2026, 7:28:50 PM146 trades$76,60724 min
6/30/2026, 6:54:37 PM115 trades$73,15433 min
7/1/2026, 10:23:01 PM31 trades$67,30710 min
6/24/2026, 1:26:14 AM190 trades$61,65532 min
6/27/2026, 2:40:08 AM145 trades$50,92217 min
6/28/2026, 1:45:59 AM103 trades$49,36014 min
7/7/2026, 7:01:49 PM88 trades$47,88318 min
7/5/2026, 10:57:17 PM15 trades$46,6030 min
6/22/2026, 6:58:10 PM93 trades$46,51741 min
6/23/2026, 4:38:04 PM12 trades$42,0004 min
6/21/2026, 4:55:43 AM69 trades$40,23421 min
6/27/2026, 11:10:19 PM84 trades$38,43319 min
4/26/2026, 5:54:06 PM12 trades$37,5004 min
7/9/2026, 7:32:23 PM12 trades$36,2454 min
7/5/2026, 11:28:02 PM4 trades$36,0003 min
6/26/2026, 1:27:07 AM21 trades$34,6810 min
7/4/2026, 2:32:49 PM35 trades$34,28039 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-21
05-05
05-19
06-04
06-17
06-30
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 53 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.64/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L64.7 / M5.9 / H29.4