@McRae
#2,979,676380xde63827b8f8ddd627ad9d7e0b09e8cc49bc446c2
~123d· 499 markets · 3197 tradesVol: $334,6112026-08-02 06:26:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
33% (143/434)1.5/20
1.11x (win $9,475 / loss $8,572)3.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.5309.9/15
Sortino 1.27010/10
$+0.0152 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 122 (434 markets)10/10
40/103 profitable days (39%)2.2/10
Max DD 78% of peak ($1,374 / $1,753)0/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Whale
$59,338 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8₿ CRYPTO#26,351$1,303Vol: $78,380
💰 FINANCE#653,522$-1,182Vol: $72,358
⚽ SPORTS#1,758,300$-264Vol: $71,408
🏛️ POLITICS#91,972$48Vol: $52,289
📈 ECONOMICS#665,627$-165Vol: $17,884
💻 TECH#256,578$-1,006Vol: $15,309
🎭 CULTURE#796,866$-240Vol: $11,510
🌤️ WEATHER#290,078$-192Vol: $9,208
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,740
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$334,611
Total Redeem
$161
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
499
total markets
Trades
1744B / 1453S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~123d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $82
Week
$-48
Vol: $82
Month
$-16
Vol: $339
All Time
$-1,740
Vol: $334,611
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
33%
143W / 291L events
Realized PnL
$-1,740
Win Rate
33%
143W / 291L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$66
Avg Loss
$-31
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,133 (2.3748692603873343% of PnL)
Top Winners
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?$2,612
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$919
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?$602
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$335
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$281
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$216
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5$186
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$180
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5$162
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?$159
Top Losers
TikTok sale announced by March 31?$-836
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?$-529
Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$-437
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$-394
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-285
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$-274
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$-232
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$-221
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-178
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-166
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.028
Sortino
0.060
HHI
89
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
13.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
14.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.8m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 350s — normal for humanCV 1.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.13
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)37.1%
Mid (20-55c)33.8%
High (>55c)29.1%
Sessions
#1212/25/2025, 12:18:35 AM27 trades$3,14218 min
6/17/2026, 9:44:50 PM23 trades$1,61018 min
6/22/2026, 2:33:52 AM28 trades$1,27727 min
12/25/2025, 12:50:45 AM3 trades$1,2481 min
7/12/2026, 3:41:07 AM6 trades$1,2001 min
1/28/2026, 10:53:04 PM3 trades$1,1821 min
7/7/2026, 9:26:37 PM4 trades$1,1682 min
6/23/2026, 1:50:19 AM20 trades$1,14210 min
12/19/2025, 1:15:43 AM8 trades$1,0719 min
1/8/2026, 6:54:35 AM2 trades$1,0711 min
2/9/2026, 1:40:43 PM3 trades$1,0086 min
1/15/2026, 1:40:40 PM5 trades$1,00410 min
12/21/2025, 8:05:33 AM3 trades$7232 min
1/29/2026, 9:34:46 PM3 trades$7222 min
1/23/2026, 4:46:30 PM5 trades$7118 min
1/29/2026, 8:42:30 AM2 trades$6973 min
2/2/2026, 9:52:48 PM4 trades$6811 min
6/18/2026, 8:41:01 PM22 trades$67814 min
12/23/2025, 4:50:29 PM4 trades$6462 min
1/16/2026, 12:14:02 PM5 trades$6423 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-12
01-02
01-19
02-08
03-29
06-19
07-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.13/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.1 / M33.8 / H29.1