@0xdf3a4083b0a3169e298c1fdb2ffb4df1ca29cbdb

12

0xdf3a4083b0a3169e298c1fdb2ffb4df1ca29cbdb

~136d· 236 markets · 2954 trades2026-08-02 05:09:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (41/143)0/20
0.53x (win $176 / loss $331)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1530/15
Sortino -1.1640/10
$-0.0020 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 104 (143 markets)10/10
30/83 profitable days (36%)1.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($309 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Whale
$76,192 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-77
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$76,192
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
236
total markets
Trades
1384B / 1570S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~136d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
41W / 102L events
Realized PnL
$-77
Win Rate
29%
41W / 102L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $49 (0.6327617563003377% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$8
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$8
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$7

Top Losers

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-287
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-10
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-1
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-1
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?$-1
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-1
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-1
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-1
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?$-1
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.060
Sortino
-0.048
HHI
26
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
6.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6330s — normal for humanCV 0.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency1.6 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.2
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.1%
Mid (20-55c)0.4%
High (>55c)85.5%

Sessions

#12
4/10/2026, 10:39:59 AM4 trades$2680 min
2/18/2026, 6:17:00 AM2 trades$2450 min
4/11/2026, 11:32:37 AM4 trades$2270 min
3/13/2026, 5:25:33 AM2 trades$2250 min
3/9/2026, 4:07:17 AM2 trades$2230 min
3/20/2026, 6:04:45 AM2 trades$2070 min
4/13/2026, 9:05:13 AM4 trades$2060 min
4/1/2026, 8:48:41 AM2 trades$1950 min
4/1/2026, 3:08:09 PM2 trades$1950 min
2/23/2026, 5:31:22 AM2 trades$1910 min
4/4/2026, 2:36:01 PM3 trades$1900 min
4/6/2026, 2:15:39 PM2 trades$1860 min
4/7/2026, 8:13:21 AM2 trades$1850 min
2/11/2026, 7:10:27 PM2 trades$1820 min
4/2/2026, 5:48:23 PM4 trades$1800 min
4/12/2026, 7:01:49 AM2 trades$1770 min
3/15/2026, 12:08:09 PM2 trades$1760 min
4/14/2026, 11:10:45 AM2 trades$1740 min
4/14/2026, 2:07:17 AM2 trades$1740 min
4/14/2026, 12:52:19 PM2 trades$1740 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-10
02-26
03-24
04-12
04-25
05-16
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.1 / M0.4 / H85.5